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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
62/100
ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır
Dalio Risk ?
90/100
Piotroski ?
2/9
Weak
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2); Önceki yıl borç/varlık verisi yok → kaldıraç azalması kontrol edilemedi (C5); Current ratio data missing (C6); gross profit data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8); current assets data missing → turnover calculation unavailable (C9); Banka/finans: kaldıraç/cari-oran/marj kriterleri uygulanamaz, skor kalan kriterlere göre normalize edildi
Graham ?
Veri Yetersiz
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
74%
Valuation
Potential?
+55.6%
DCF Value ?
95.72
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
13448
1973-05-03 → 2026-09-03
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%22.2
VaR 95% ?
%2.19
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%3.14
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%3.08
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%16.2
06.02.2026 → 27.03.2026
Skewness ?
-0.27
Parametrik%2.19
Historik%1.95
Cornish-Fisher%2.26
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Uptrend
Price (62.77), TRAMA-99 line's %9.9 above. Uptrend ongoing; monitor for TRAMA approach for trend change.
Price:: 62.77
TRAMA: 57.1408
Difference: %+9.9
Profitability
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%6.3
ROE %6.3 — low return on equity.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%35.1
TTM Free Cash Flow is %35.1'i. Strong FCF generation — profit quality is high.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
13.0x
Sector: 20.4x
F/K 13.0x — sector median's (20.4x) %36 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
1.54x
Sector: 3.01x
PD/DD 1.54x — sector median's (3.01x) çok below. Defter değerine göre undervalued.
Indebtedness
Debt / Equity
1.23x
Borç/Özkaynak 1.23x — moderate financial leverage.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+6.8
Revenue YoY %6.8 grew — positive but slow growth.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%+17.8
Net profit YoY %17.8 increased — positive but moderate growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
78/100
Very strong robustness score (78/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+55.6%
Plus %55.6 expected value (97.19) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %74.
Components: PE target: 100.96 | P/B target: 126.24 | DCF target: 95.72
Damodaran Valuation
62/100
Moderate Damodaran score (62/100). Value creation capacity limited. Minusk/sorunlu: ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
90/100
Low debt risk (90/100).
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 50/100 | Quality: 90/100
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
95.72
DCF modeli 95.72 target value produced — compared to current price %53.3 undervalued.
Current price: 62.44
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
Weak Piotroski (2/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
13.0x
vs 20.4x
Sector mediannın %36 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
1.54x
vs 3.01x
Compared to sector %49 cheaper (by book value)
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
▲ içeriden alım ·
▼ içeriden satım ·
★ katalizör (haber-sezgisel) ·
■ 13D aktivist ·
■ 13G pasif
— SEC Form 4 ~2 gün gecikmeli, yalnız yönetici/direktör/%10+ sahip; katalizör = haber-sezgisel; 13D/G = %5+ pay bildirimi ~5 iş günü gecikmeli.
İçeriden Alım-Satım Akışı
Kim aldı, kim sattı, ne kadar
USB — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.