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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
49/100
Dalio Risk ?
90/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
75%
Valuation
Potential?
-34.6%
ROIC ?
22.6%
DCF Value ?
365.49
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
6850
2000-01-03 → 2026-08-31
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Çok Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%1774.3
VaR 95% ?
%172.84
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%249.01
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%24.60
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%92.2
04.09.2025 → 24.06.2026
Skewness ?
8.96
Parametrik%172.84
Historik%3.07
Cornish-Fisher%-460.33
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Uptrend
Price (384.70), TRAMA-99 line's %16.4 above. Strong uptrend continues. Technical momentum positive.
Price:: 384.7
TRAMA: 330.3644
Difference: %+16.4
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
33.4x
Sector: 16.6x
F/K 33.4x — sector median's (16.6x) %102 above. Expensive zone.
P/B Ratio
5.85x
Sector: 2.29x
PD/DD 5.85x — sector median's %155 above. Expensive book value.
EV/EBITDA
19.3x
Sector: 7.5x
EV/EBITDA 19.3x — sector median's (7.5x) %156 above. EBITDA’ya göre pahalı.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
1.44x
Current ratio 1.44x — can comfortably cover short-term debts.
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.1x
Net Borç/EBITDA 1.1x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
0.34x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage
19.9x
Interest coverage 19.9x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
46/100
Moderate robustness (46/100). Valuation and risk criteria give mixed signals. Detailed review recommended.
Moderate
Potential
-34.6%
Minus %34.6 expected value (251.53) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 190.30 | P/B target: 157.35 | EV/EBITDA target: 150.48 | DCF target: 365.49
Damodaran Valuation
49/100
Low Damodaran score (49/100). DCF analysis does not support current price.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
90/100
Low debt risk (90/100). Interest coverage ratio 19.9x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 1.1x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 85/100 | Debt Service: 86/100 | Quality: 92/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%22.6
ROIC (%22.6) cost of capital 14.5 puan aşıyor → company creates value.
WACC: %8.0
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
365.49
DCF (365.49) near current price (%-5.0) near — in fair value zone.
Current price: 384.70
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
33.4x
vs 16.6x
Sector mediannın %102 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
5.85x
vs 2.29x
Compared to sector %155 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
19.3x
vs 7.5x
Compared to sector %156 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%22.6
vs %8.0 WACC
ROIC 14.5 baz puan exceeds cost of capital
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
OR — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.