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NWSANews Corporation
🇺🇸 US
Smart Money
24
26.61
USD
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
-
The factor score and time-horizon weights were measured only on the past data of companies that trade today; companies that left the exchange in the past are not part of this measurement.
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
-
Dalio Risk ?
-
Piotroski ?
5/9
Neutral
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); gross profit data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Graham ?
$20.2
Pahalı
Lothien Robustness Summary
72/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Güçlü (72/100)
Genel tablo olumlu. Finansal yapı sağlam, bazı riskler mevcut. | Kısa Vade: Olumlu | Uzun Vade: Nötr | Pozitif: 4 | Negatif: 1 | Nötr: 2
Net Kâr Pozitif
Son çeyrekte $159M net kâr açıklandı. Şirket kârlı.
Kâr Stabil
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre fazla değişmedi (%-11.2). İstikrarlı seyir.
Yıllık Kâr Büyümesi Güçlü
Geçen yılın aynı dönemine göre net kâr %+42.0 arttı. Büyüme trendi sağlıklı.
3 Çeyrek Üst Üste Artış
Son 3 çeyrek üst üste kâr artıyor. Güçlü yukarı trend devam ediyor.
Kârlı ama Nakit Üretemiyor
Net kâr pozitif ($159M) ama FCF negatif (-$89M). Yatırım harcamaları yüksek veya alacak birikimi var.
Mevsimsel Etki
Çeyreklik düşüş (%-11.2) ama yıllık bazda artış (%+42.0). Bu muhtemelen mevsimsel bir düşüş.
Sonraki Çeyrek: Artış Beklentisi
Pusla tahminine göre bir sonraki çeyrekte kâr %+22.1 artabilir ($159M → $194M).
Data date date not measured Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed
Score record
Method
How the scores are computed
· Scorecard
Data date
date not measured
Update frequency
Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run
Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.
AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.
Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.
WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.
Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%28.6
VaR 95% ?
%2.95
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%4.18
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.46
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%17.1
30.01.2026 → 12.02.2026
Skewness ?
-1.91
Parametrik%2.95
Historik%2.55
Cornish-Fisher%3.37
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
-
Balance Sheet Analysis?
Q2026/9
Net kâr çeyreklik %-11.2 düşerek 159.0M USD oldu
Yıllık net kâr büyümesi %+42.0
Hasılat çeyreklik yatay kaldı (2.3B USD)
Yıllık hasılat büyümesi ılımlı (%+6.4)
Net kâr marjı: %7.0
FAVÖK yatay seyrede (403.0M USD)
FAVÖK marjı: %17.7
Toplam borç: 2.9B USD
Net borç: 1.2B USD
Borç/Özkaynak oranı düşük: 0.35x
Cari oran: 1.62x — yeterli likidite
Nakit %-15.2 azaldı → 1.8B USD
İşletme nakit akışı pozitif: 13.0M USD
Serbest nakit akışı negatif: -89.0M USD — yatırımlar nakdi aşıyor
ROE düşük: %1.9
ROA düşük: %1.0
Toplam varlıklar: 15.4B USD (%-0.7)
Özkaynak: 8.5B USD (%-0.4)
İşletme kârı pozitif: 277.0M USD
Faiz karşılama oranı güçlü: 21.2x (Faiz: 19.0M USD)
Ödenmiş sermaye: 539.4M USD
Net işletme sermayesi pozitif: 1.6B USD
CAPEX: 102.0M USD (Hasılatın %4.5'i)
Son 8 çeyrek ardışık kâr
Fiyat TRAMA-99 altında: %-5.6 — teknik trend olumsuz
Direnç seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 28.20 USD
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
Net Profit Margin
%7.0
Net profit margin %7.0 — positive but low. Compared to previous quarter -0.7 point decrease.
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM)
%7.3
ROE %7.3 — low return on equity.
EBITDA Margin
%17.7
EBITDA margin %17.7 — good operational performance.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%7.8
TTM Free Cash Flow is %7.8'i. Moderate FCF — capex constraining operational profit.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.1x
Sector: 26.3x
F/K 23.1x — sector median (26.3x) near reasonable levels.
P/B Ratio
1.69x
Sector: 4.55x
PD/DD 1.69x — sector median's (4.55x) well below. Cheap relative to book value.
EV/EBITDA
9.2x
Sector: 15.6x
EV/EBITDA 9.2x — sector median's (15.6x) %41 below. Cheap relative to EBITDA.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
1.62x
Current ratio 1.62x — can comfortably cover short-term debts.
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.7x
Net Debt/EBITDA 1.7x — manageable debt level.
Debt / Equity
0.35x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage
16.9x
Interest coverage 16.9x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+6.4
Revenue YoY %6.4 grew — positive but slow growth.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%+42.0
Net profit YoY %42.0 increased — strong profit growth.
Seasonality Analysis
Q2 (Nis-Haz)
Historically strongest quarter: Q2 (Apr-Jun) (avg. profit 324.0M). Weakest quarter: Q1 (Jan-Mar) (avg. profit 96.0M).
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
-
Good robustness (66/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Potential
-
Plus %51.3 expected value (40.20) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models could be calculated. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 30.30 | P/B target: 73.28 | EV/EBITDA target: 45.32 | DCF target: 30.02
Damodaran Valuation
-
Low Damodaran score (45/100). DCF analysis does not support current price.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
-
Low debt risk (76/100). Interest coverage ratio 16.9x — strong. Debt/EBITDA 1.7x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 85/100 | Debt Service: 91/100 | Quality: 70/100
ROIC - Return on Capital
%9.0
ROIC (%9.0) slightly exceeds cost of capital (0.0 points).
WACC: %9.0
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
30.02
DCF (30.02) near current price (%+13.0) near — in fair value zone.
Current price: 26.57
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Moderate Piotroski (5/9). Some balance sheet criteria met, some missing. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); gross profit data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
$20.2
Expensive
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
23.1x
vs 26.3x
Sector median's %12 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
1.69x
vs 4.55x
Compared to sector %63 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
9.2x
vs 15.6x
Compared to sector %41 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%9.0
vs %9.0 WACC
ROIC 0.0 bps above cost of capital
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%6.8
vs %18.4 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %6.8
TRAMA-99 Trend — Downtrend
Price (26.61), TRAMA-99 line's %5.6 below. Downtrend ongoing — technical outlook negative. Pressure may continue until TRAMA is broken above.
Price:: 26.61
TRAMA: 28.20
Difference: %-5.6
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
▲ içeriden alım ·
▼ içeriden satım ·
★ katalizör (haber-sezgisel) ·
■ 13D aktivist ·
■ 13G pasif
— SEC Form 4 ~2 gün gecikmeli, yalnız yönetici/direktör/%10+ sahip; katalizör = haber-sezgisel; 13D/G = %5+ pay bildirimi ~5 iş günü gecikmeli.
İçeriden Alım-Satım Akışı
Kim aldı, kim sattı, ne kadar
NWSA — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.