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LNGCheniere Energy, Inc.
🇺🇸 US
Smart Money
52
293.49
USD
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
-
The factor score and time-horizon weights were measured only on the past data of companies that trade today; companies that left the exchange in the past are not part of this measurement.
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
-
Dalio Risk ?
-
Piotroski ?
5/9
Neutral
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Previous year data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Graham ?
$97.0
Pahalı
Lothien Robustness Summary
61/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Güçlü (61/100)
Genel tablo olumlu. Finansal yapı sağlam, bazı riskler mevcut. | Kısa Vade: Olumlu | Uzun Vade: Olumlu | Pozitif: 5 | Negatif: 2 | Nötr: 2
Net Kâr Pozitif
Son çeyrekte $1.2B net kâr açıklandı. Şirket kârlı.
Çeyreklik Kâr Düşüşü
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre %-61.9 geriledi ($3.1B → $1.2B). Kısa vadede olumsuz sinyal.
3 Çeyrek Üst Üste Artış
Son 3 çeyrek üst üste kâr artıyor. Güçlü yukarı trend devam ediyor.
Yüksek Borçluluk
Net borç/özkaynak oranı 3.19x. Yüksek kaldıraç risk taşır, faiz yükü ağır olabilir.
Güçlü Nakit Üretimi
Serbest nakit akışı ($1.7B) kârın %148'sini nakit olarak üretiyor. Kâr kalitesi yüksek.
Yüksek PD/DD
PD/DD: 8.88. Piyasa defter değerinin çok üstünde fiyatlıyor. Büyüme beklentisi primli.
Yüksek ROE
Özkaynak getirisi (ROE): %47.7. Sermaye verimli kullanılıyor.
Mevsimsel Etki
Çeyreklik düşüş (%-61.9) ama yıllık bazda artış (%+11.5). Bu muhtemelen mevsimsel bir düşüş.
Sonraki Çeyrek: Artış Beklentisi
Pusla tahminine göre bir sonraki çeyrekte kâr %+117.3 artabilir ($1.2B → $2.5B).
Data date date not measured Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed
Score record
Method
How the scores are computed
· Scorecard
Data date
date not measured
Update frequency
Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run
Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.
AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.
Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.
WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.
Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%31.5
VaR 95% ?
%3.10
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%4.46
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.40
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%24.3
27.03.2026 → 29.05.2026
Skewness ?
-0.03
Parametrik%3.10
Historik%3.09
Cornish-Fisher%3.07
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
-
Balance Sheet Analysis?
Q2026/9
Net kâr çeyreklik %-61.9 düşerek 1.2B USD oldu
Yıllık net kâr büyümesi %+11.5
Hasılat çeyreklik %+7.7 büyüdü (6.2B USD)
Yıllık hasılat büyümesi güçlü (%+39.0)
Net kâr marjı yüksek: %19.0
Toplam borç %-15.0 azaldı → 22.6B USD
Net borç hasılatın üzerinde: 20.9B USD
Borç/Özkaynak oranı yüksek: 3.45x
Cari oran < 1: 0.90x — likidite riski
Nakit %+51.3 arttı → 1.7B USD
İşletme nakit akışı pozitif: 2.5B USD
Serbest nakit akışı pozitif: 1.7B USD
ROE: %17.8
ROA: %2.4
Toplam varlıklar: 48.8B USD (%+1.8)
Özkaynak %+5.9 arttı → 6.6B USD
İşletme kârı pozitif: 1.9B USD
Net işletme sermayesi negatif: -523.0M USD — kısa vadeli baskı
İşletme sermayesi değişimi: %+14.4
CAPEX: 732.0M USD (Hasılatın %11.9'i)
Son 2 çeyrek ardışık kâr
Fiyat TRAMA-99 üzerinde: %+15.4 — teknik trend olumlu
Destek seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 254.43 USD
Sabit varlık ağırlıklı bilanço: Dönen varlıklar %10
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
Net Profit Margin
%19.0
Net profit margin %19.0 — at healthy level. Compared to previous quarter -34.6 point decrease.
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM)
%47.7
ROE %47.7 — high return on equity.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%16.3
TTM Free Cash Flow is %16.3'i. Strong FCF generation — profit quality is high.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.2x
Sector: 26.3x
F/K 19.2x — sector median (26.3x) near reasonable levels.
P/B Ratio
8.88x
Sector: 4.55x
PD/DD 8.88x — sector median's %95 above. Expensive book value.
EV/EBITDA
10.0x
Sector: 15.6x
EV/EBITDA 10.0x — sector median's (15.6x) %36 below. Cheap relative to EBITDA.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
0.90x
Current ratio 0.90x — short-term liabilities exceed current assets. Liquidity risk.
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.9x
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.9x — manageable debt level.
Debt / Equity
3.45x
Debt/Equity 3.45x — very high leverage.
Interest Coverage
9.0x
Interest coverage 9.0x — interest obligations comfortably covered.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+39.0
Revenue YoY %39.0 grew (2026/9) — strong growth. Sector expansion and/or market share increase.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%+11.5
Net profit YoY %11.5 increased — positive but moderate growth.
Seasonality Analysis
Q2 (Nis-Haz)
Historically strongest quarter: Q2 (Apr-Jun) (avg. profit 1.9B). Weakest quarter: Q1 (Jan-Mar) (avg. profit -1.6B).
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
-
Good robustness (62/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Potential
-
Plus %23.8 expected value (352.62) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models could be calculated. Model confidence %72.
Components: PE target: 422.30 | P/B target: 202.79 | EV/EBITDA target: 444.27 | DCF target: 452.41
Damodaran Valuation
-
Moderate Damodaran score (64/100). ROIC (%21.6) – WACC (%8.1) difference +13.5 bps. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
-
Moderate debt risk (51/100). Interest coverage ratio 9.0x — strong. Debt/EBITDA 2.9x — manageable.
Leverage: 39/100 | Debt Service: 73/100 | Quality: 72/100
ROIC - Return on Capital
%21.6
ROIC (%21.6) cost of capital 13.5 bps above → company creates value.
WACC: %8.1
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
452.41
DCF modeli 452.41 target value produced — compared to current price %58.8 undervalued.
Current price: 284.95
Debt Cycle Phase
Contraction
High debt service + falling revenues. Balance sheet under pressure.
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Moderate Piotroski (5/9). Some balance sheet criteria met, some missing. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Previous year data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
$97.0
Expensive
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
19.2x
vs 26.3x
Sector median's %27 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
8.88x
vs 4.55x
Compared to sector %95 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
10.0x
vs 15.6x
Compared to sector %36 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%21.6
vs %8.1 WACC
ROIC 13.5 bps above cost of capital
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%13.1
vs %34.0 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %13.1
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Uptrend
Price (293.49), TRAMA-99 line's %15.4 above. Strong uptrend continues. Technical momentum positive.
Price:: 293.49
TRAMA: 254.43
Difference: %+15.4
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
▲ içeriden alım ·
▼ içeriden satım ·
★ katalizör (haber-sezgisel) ·
■ 13D aktivist ·
■ 13G pasif
— SEC Form 4 ~2 gün gecikmeli, yalnız yönetici/direktör/%10+ sahip; katalizör = haber-sezgisel; 13D/G = %5+ pay bildirimi ~5 iş günü gecikmeli.
İçeriden Alım-Satım Akışı
Kim aldı, kim sattı, ne kadar
LNG — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.