KINV_BKinnevik

NORDIC
72.44
EUR
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
49/100
Moderate
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
71/100
ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır; DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik)
Dalio Risk ?
14/100
Piotroski ?
2/9
Weak
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Current ratio data missing (C6); gross profit, revenue data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8); Banka/finans: kaldıraç/cari-oran/marj kriterleri uygulanamaz, skor kalan kriterlere göre normalize edildi
Graham ?
Negatif HBK
Company is loss-making (EPS = -2.3050 TL) — Graham formula requires positive earnings
Active Metric?
1/4
Confidence?
48%
Lothien Robustness Summary
72/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Güçlü (72/100)
Genel tablo olumlu. Finansal yapı sağlam, bazı riskler mevcut. | Kısa Vade: Olumlu | Uzun Vade: Nötr | Pozitif: 7 | Negatif: 3 | Nötr: 1
Net Kâr Pozitif
Son çeyrekte €153M net kâr açıklandı. Şirket kârlı.
Çeyreklik Kâr Artışı
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre %+121.5 arttı (-€708M → €153M). Kısa vadede olumlu momentum.
Yıllık Kâr Büyümesi Güçlü
Geçen yılın aynı dönemine göre net kâr %+174.3 arttı. Büyüme trendi sağlıklı.
3 Çeyrek Üst Üste Artış
Son 3 çeyrek üst üste kâr artıyor. Güçlü yukarı trend devam ediyor.
Hasılat Büyümesi Güçlü
Satış gelirleri çeyreklik %+121.5 arttı (-€708M → €153M). Talep güçlü.
Yıllık Hasılat Büyümesi Güçlü
Yıllık hasılat %+174.3 arttı. Şirket büyüyor.
Yüksek Net Kâr Marjı
Net kâr marjı %100.0. Her 100€ satıştan 100€ kâr kalıyor.
Kârlı ama Nakit Üretemiyor
Net kâr pozitif (€153M) ama FCF negatif (-€6M). Yatırım harcamaları yüksek veya alacak birikimi var.
Yüksek PD/DD
PD/DD: 7.75. Piyasa defter değerinin çok üstünde fiyatlıyor. Büyüme beklentisi primli.
Negatif ROE
ROE: %-27.6. Şirket özsermayesini eritiyor.
Sonraki Çeyrek: Düşüş Beklentisi
Tahminine göre kâr %-149.8 düşebilir. Sonraki bilançoya dikkat.

Data date 2026-11-10 Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed

Score record
Data date 2026-11-10
Update frequency Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run

Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.

AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.

Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.

WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.

Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error

Risk Analysis (VaR) Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%37.8
VaR 95% ?
%3.95
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%5.57
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%5.69
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%45.7
28.11.2025 → 24.03.2026
Skewness ?
-1.67
Parametrik%3.95
Historik%3.02
Cornish-Fisher%4.44
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
+12.7%
Debt Cycle?
Contraction
Balance Sheet Analysis? Q2026/9
Fiyat TRAMA-99 üzerinde: %+26.1 — teknik trend olumlu
Destek seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 57.46 EUR
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
Net Profit Margin %100.0
Net profit margin %100.0 — very strong. Compared to previous quarter +0.0 point increase.
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM) %-27.6
ROE %-27.6 — negative return on equity.
EBITDA Margin %-5282.2
EBITDA margin %-5282.2 — operational loss.
Gross Profit Margin %-5282.2
Gross profit per revenue %-5282.2. Evaluate relative to sector.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM) %-2.9
TTM Free Cash Flow is %-2.9'i. Negative FCF — company consuming cash.
Valuation
P/B Ratio 7.75x Sector: 10.09x
PD/DD 7.75x — sector median (10.09x) below or near. Reasonable valuation.
Indebtedness
Debt / Equity 0.07x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage -9069.6x
Interest coverage -9069.6x — critical level. Risk of difficulty in interest payments.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY) %+174.3
Revenue YoY %174.3 grew (2026/6) — strong growth. Sector expansion and/or market share increase.
Net Profit Growth (YoY) %+174.3
Net profit YoY %174.3 increased (2026/6) — extraordinary profit growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
49/100
Moderate robustness (49/100). Valuation and risk criteria give mixed signals. Detailed review recommended.
Moderate
Potential
+12.7%
Plus %12.7 expected value (81.66) vs current price comparison. 1/4 valuation models could be calculated. Model confidence %48.
Components: P/B target: 91.64
Damodaran Valuation
71/100
Strong
Dalio Risk Analysis
14/100
High debt risk (14/100). Interest coverage ratio -9069.6x — weak, fragile.
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 50/100 | Quality: 14/100
Debt Cycle Phase
Contraction
High debt service + falling revenues. Balance sheet under pressure.
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
Weak Piotroski (2/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Current ratio data missing (C6)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Company is loss-making (EPS = -2.3050 TL) — Graham formula requires positive earnings
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/B Ratio
7.75x vs 10.09x
Compared to sector %23 cheaper (by book value)
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Uptrend
Price (72.44), TRAMA-99 line's %26.1 above. Strong uptrend continues. Technical momentum positive.
Price:: 72.44
TRAMA: 57.46
Difference: %+26.1
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation ?
RSI thresholds ?

Price Chart ?
RSI (14) ?
Bollinger Bands ?
MACD ?
Gold-Based Price + TRAMA (Stock / Gram Gold) ?
P/E Ratio ?
P/B Ratio ?
KINV_B — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.