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Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
50/100
Moderate
The factor score and time-horizon weights were measured only on the past data of companies that trade today; companies that left the exchange in the past are not part of this measurement.
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
46/100
Dalio Risk ?
94/100
Piotroski ?
1/9
Weak
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2); Operating cash flow data missing (C3, C4); Önceki yıl borç/varlık verisi yok → kaldıraç azalması kontrol edilemedi (C5); Current period current ratio missing (C6); Previous year data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8); current assets data missing → turnover calculation unavailable (C9)
Graham ?
Veri Yetersiz
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
72%
Lothien Robustness Summary
20/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Çok Zayıf (20/100)
Temel göstergelerin çoğu olumsuz. Lothien sağlamlık skoru düşük seviyede. | Kısa Vade: Olumsuz | Uzun Vade: Nötr | Pozitif: 1 | Negatif: 6 | Nötr: 1
Net Kâr Pozitif
Son çeyrekte ₹8.9B net kâr açıklandı. Şirket kârlı.
Çeyreklik Kâr Düşüşü
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre %-29.2 geriledi (₹12.6B → ₹8.9B). Kısa vadede olumsuz sinyal.
Yıllık Kâr Geriledi
Geçen yılın aynı dönemine göre net kâr %-35.1 düştü. Uzun vadede endişe verici.
3 Çeyrek Üst Üste Düşüş
Son 3 çeyrek üst üste kâr düşüyor. Aşağı trend endişe verici. Sonraki çeyreğe dikkat.
Yıllık Hasılatta Daralma
Yıllık hasılat %-0.5 düştü. Şirket daralmada.
Yüksek F/K Uyarısı
Trailing F/K: 34.2. Piyasa yüksek büyüme bekliyor ya da hisse pahalı. Büyüme gerçekleşmezse düşüş riski yüksek.
Yüksek PD/DD
PD/DD: 7.70. Piyasa defter değerinin çok üstünde fiyatlıyor. Büyüme beklentisi primli.
Yüksek EV/EBITDA
EV/EBITDA: 16.9. Pahalı değerleme.
Data date 2026-10-22 Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed
Score record
Method
How the scores are computed
· Scorecard
Data date
2026-10-22
Update frequency
Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run
Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.
AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.
Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.
WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.
Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%27.4
VaR 95% ?
%2.92
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%4.10
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%3.75
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%30.6
31.10.2025 → 06.04.2026
Skewness ?
0.27
Parametrik%2.92
Historik%3.12
Cornish-Fisher%2.72
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
-16.0%
ROIC ?
32.5%
DCF Value ?
754.84
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Balance Sheet Analysis?
Q2026/6
Net kâr çeyreklik %-29.2 düşerek 8.9B INR oldu
Yıllık net kâr %-35.1 geriledi
Hasılat çeyreklik %-12.7 düştü (161.0B INR)
Yıllık hasılat büyümesi ılımlı (%-0.5)
Brüt kâr marjı: %26.3
Brüt marj değişimi: %+1.2 puan
Net kâr marjı: %5.5
FAVÖK çeyreklik %-19.7 düştü (17.9B INR)
FAVÖK marjı düşük: %11.1
İşletme kârı pozitif: 9.5B INR
Faiz karşılama oranı güçlü: 65.4x (Faiz: 273.3M INR)
Ödenmiş sermaye: 812.3M INR
Son 5 çeyrek ardışık kâr
Fiyat TRAMA-99 altında: %-6.4 — teknik trend olumsuz
Direnç seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 2024.18 INR
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
Net Profit Margin
%5.5
Net profit margin %5.5 — positive but low. Compared to previous quarter -1.3 point decrease.
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM)
%18.6
ROE %18.6 — moderate return on equity.
EBITDA Margin
%11.1
EBITDA margin %11.1 — moderate operational efficiency.
Gross Profit Margin
%26.3
Gross profit per revenue %26.3. Evaluate relative to sector.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
34.2x
Sector: 32.1x
F/K 34.2x — sector median's (32.1x) %7 above. Slight premium.
P/B Ratio
7.70x
Sector: 4.64x
PD/DD 7.70x — sector median's %66 above. Expensive book value.
EV/EBITDA
16.9x
Sector: 18.0x
EV/EBITDA 16.9x — sector median (18.0x) in line.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
1.56x
Current ratio 1.56x — can comfortably cover short-term debts.
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.1x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
0.05x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage
74.0x
Interest coverage 74.0x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%-0.5
Revenue YoY %-0.5 declined — slight decrease, monitor closely.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%-35.1
Net profit YoY %-35.1 declined (2026/6) — serious profit erosion.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
50/100
Moderate robustness (50/100). Valuation and risk criteria give mixed signals. Detailed review recommended.
Moderate
Potential
-16.0%
Minus %16.0 expected value (1591.88) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models could be calculated. Model confidence %72.
Components: PE target: 1725.03 | P/B target: 1198.87 | EV/EBITDA target: 2022.43 | DCF target: 754.84
Damodaran Valuation
46/100
Low Damodaran score (46/100). DCF analysis does not support current price.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
94/100
Low debt risk (94/100). Interest coverage ratio 74.0x — strong. Debt/EBITDA 0.1x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 98/100 | Debt Service: 89/100 | Quality: 88/100
ROIC - Return on Capital
%32.5
ROIC (%32.5) cost of capital 17.3 bps above → company creates value.
WACC: %15.1
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
754.84
DCF (754.84) current price %60.2 below — cash flows do not support current price.
Current price: 1895.50
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
1/9
Weak Piotroski (1/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
34.2x
vs 32.1x
Sector median's %7 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
7.70x
vs 4.64x
Compared to sector %66 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
16.9x
vs 18.0x
Compared to sector %6 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%32.5
vs %15.1 WACC
ROIC 17.3 bps above cost of capital
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%6.9
vs %12.7 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %6.9
TRAMA-99 Trend — Downtrend
Price (1895.50), TRAMA-99 line's %6.4 below. Downtrend ongoing — technical outlook negative. Pressure may continue until TRAMA is broken above.
Price:: 1895.50
TRAMA: 2024.18
Difference: %-6.4
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
HYUNDAI — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.