Fundamental & Technical Analysis
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TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (1004.42), TRAMA-99 line (978.85) at close levels (%+2.6). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 1004.42
TRAMA: 978.8487
Difference: %+2.6
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%6.8
ROE %6.8 — low return on equity.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%26.9
TTM Free Cash Flow is %26.9'i. Strong FCF generation — profit quality is high.
P/E Ratio
17.3x
Sector: 20.4x
F/K 17.3x — sector medianna (20.4x) near reasonable levels.
P/B Ratio
2.35x
Sector: 3.01x
PD/DD 2.35x — sector median (3.01x) below or near. Reasonable valuation.
Debt / Equity
3.02x
Borç/Özkaynak 3.02x — very high leverage.
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+19.6
Revenue YoY %19.6 grew — healthy growth rate.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%+6.2
Net profit YoY %6.2 increased — positive but moderate growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
67/100
Good robustness (67/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Strong
Potential
+20.7%
Plus %20.7 expected value (1212.76) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %74.
Components: PE target: 1191.54 | P/B target: 1337.24 | DCF target: 1270.03
Damodaran Valuation
56/100
Moderate Damodaran score (56/100). Value creation capacity limited. Minusk/sorunlu: ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
91/100
Low debt risk (91/100).
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 50/100 | Quality: 91/100
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
1,270.03
DCF modeli 1270.03 target value produced — compared to current price %26.4 undervalued.
Current price: 1004.48
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
1/9
Weak Piotroski (1/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
⚖️ Sector Comparison
Sector mediannın %15 below — cheap
Compared to sector %22 cheaper (by book value)
Analyst Views and Target Price — external source
Bu bölümdeki dereceler ve hedef fiyat, aracı kurum analistlerinin kendi
beyanlarıdır; Lothien'in görüşü değildir ve doğrulanmamıştır.
This is not investment advice.
GS — Participation Finance Compliance
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