Fundamental & Technical Analysis
↔
TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (18.85), TRAMA-99 line (18.42) at close levels (%+2.3). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 18.85
TRAMA: 18.4238
Difference: %+2.3
P/E Ratio
7.9x
Sector: 7.1x
F/K 7.9x — sector median's (7.1x) %11 above. Slight premium.
P/B Ratio
4.19x
Sector: 2.12x
PD/DD 4.19x — sector median's %97 above. Expensive book value.
EV/EBITDA
4.0x
Sector: 2.6x
EV/EBITDA 4.0x — sector median's (2.6x) %57 above. EBITDA’ya göre pahalı.
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Net Borç/EBITDA 1.5x — manageable debt level.
Debt / Equity
2.17x
Borç/Özkaynak 2.17x — high leverage. Sensitive to debt cycle changes.
Interest Coverage
14.7x
Interest coverage 14.7x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
65/100
Good robustness (65/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Strong
Potential
+21.6%
Plus %21.6 expected value (22.92) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 16.99 | P/B target: 10.83 | EV/EBITDA target: 12.01 | DCF target: 50.18
Damodaran Valuation
55/100
Moderate Damodaran score (55/100). ROIC (%7.9) – WACC (%8.5) farkı -0.6 baz puan. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
68/100
Moderate debt risk (68/100). Interest coverage ratio 14.7x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 1.5x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 70/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 59/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%7.9
ROIC (%7.9) cost of capitaln (8.5%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %8.5
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
50.18
DCF modeli 50.18 target value produced — compared to current price %166.2 undervalued.
Current price: 18.85
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
Sector mediannın %11 above — expensive
Compared to sector %97 more expensive (by book value)
Compared to sector %57 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC 0.6 baz puan cost of capitaln altında
Analyst Views and Target Price — external source
Bu bölümdeki dereceler ve hedef fiyat, aracı kurum analistlerinin kendi
beyanlarıdır; Lothien'in görüşü değildir ve doğrulanmamıştır.
This is not investment advice.
GET — Participation Finance Compliance
Loading…