4676Fuji Media Holdings, Inc.

🇯🇵 Japonya Borsası
3996.00
JPY
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
52/100
Moderate
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
38/100
DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik)
Dalio Risk ?
38/100
Piotroski ?
1/9
Weak
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2); Önceki yıl borç/varlık verisi yok → kaldıraç azalması kontrol edilemedi (C5); Current ratio data missing (C6); current assets data missing → turnover calculation unavailable (C9)
Graham ?
Veri Yetersiz
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
59%
Lothien Robustness Summary
54/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Orta (54/100)
Karışık sinyaller. Hem olumlu hem olumsuz göstergeler mevcut. | Kısa Vade: Olumlu | Uzun Vade: Nötr | Pozitif: 3 | Negatif: 4 | Nötr: 0
Net Kâr Pozitif
Son çeyrekte ¥10.2B net kâr açıklandı. Şirket kârlı.
Çeyreklik Kâr Artışı
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre %+465.4 arttı (¥1.8B → ¥10.2B). Kısa vadede olumlu momentum.
Yıllık Kâr Büyümesi Güçlü
Geçen yılın aynı dönemine göre net kâr %+848.8 arttı. Büyüme trendi sağlıklı.
Yüksek F/K Uyarısı
Trailing F/K: 36.1. Piyasa yüksek büyüme bekliyor ya da hisse pahalı. Büyüme gerçekleşmezse düşüş riski yüksek.
Yüksek EV/EBITDA
EV/EBITDA: 21.3. Pahalı değerleme.
Düşük ROE
ROE: %2.9. Sermaye getirisi yetersiz — enflasyonun altında.
Sonraki Çeyrek: Düşüş Beklentisi
Tahminine göre kâr %-54.3 düşebilir. Sonraki bilançoya dikkat.

Data date 2026-10-29 Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed

Score record
Data date 2026-10-29
Update frequency Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run

Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.

AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.

Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.

WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.

Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error

Risk Analysis (VaR) Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%33.4
VaR 95% ?
%3.35
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%4.79
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.30
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%15.6
07.04.2026 → 18.05.2026
Skewness ?
0.34
Parametrik%3.35
Historik%3.16
Cornish-Fisher%3.07
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
+8.0%
ROIC ?
-0.1%
Debt Cycle?
Contraction
Balance Sheet Analysis? Q2026/6
Net kâr çeyreklik %+465.4 artarak 10.2B JPY oldu
Yıllık net kâr büyümesi %+848.8
Ödenmiş sermaye: 142.4M JPY
Son 5 çeyrek ardışık kâr
Fiyat TRAMA-99 üzerinde: %+15.4 — teknik trend olumlu
Destek seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 3462.95 JPY
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM) %2.9
ROE %2.9 — low return on equity.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM) %-14.1
TTM Free Cash Flow is %-14.1'i. Negative FCF — company consuming cash.
Valuation
P/E Ratio 36.1x Sector: 23.3x
F/K 36.1x — sector median's (23.3x) %55 above. Expensive zone.
P/B Ratio 1.03x Sector: 2.28x
PD/DD 1.03x — sector median's (2.28x) well below. Cheap relative to book value.
EV/EBITDA 21.3x Sector: 10.5x
EV/EBITDA 21.3x — sector median's (10.5x) %104 above. Expensive relative to EBITDA.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio 0.92x
Current ratio 0.92x — short-term liabilities exceed current assets. Liquidity risk.
Net Debt / EBITDA 12.0x
Net Debt/EBITDA 12.0x — excessive leverage. Fragile debt profile.
Debt / Equity 1.13x
Debt/Equity 1.13x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage 15.3x
Interest coverage 15.3x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY) %+0.2
Revenue YoY %0.2 grew — positive but slow growth.
Net Profit Growth (YoY) %+848.8
Net profit YoY %848.8 increased (2026/6) — extraordinary profit growth.
Seasonality Analysis Q2 (Nis-Haz)
Historically strongest quarter: Q2 (Apr-Jun) (avg. profit 2.1B). Weakest quarter: Q4 (Oct-Dec) (avg. profit -1.6B).
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
52/100
Moderate robustness (52/100). Valuation and risk criteria give mixed signals. Detailed review recommended.
Moderate
Potential
+8.0%
Plus %8.0 expected value (4283.91) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models could be calculated. Model confidence %59.
Components: PE target: 3025.33 | P/B target: 8831.12 | EV/EBITDA target: 1949.50
Damodaran Valuation
38/100
Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
38/100
High debt risk (38/100). Interest coverage ratio 15.3x — strong. Debt/EBITDA 12.0x — high debt burden.
Leverage: 31/100 | Debt Service: 73/100 | Quality: 36/100
ROIC - Return on Capital
%-0.1
ROIC (%-0.1) cost of capital (4.0%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %4.0
Debt Cycle Phase
Contraction
High debt service + falling revenues. Balance sheet under pressure.
Piotroski F-Score
1/9
Weak Piotroski (1/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
36.1x vs 23.3x
Sector median's %55 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
1.03x vs 2.28x
Compared to sector %55 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
21.3x vs 10.5x
Compared to sector %104 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%-0.1 vs %4.0 WACC
ROIC 4.1 bps below cost of capital
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%0.1 vs %9.3 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %0.1
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Uptrend
Price (3996.00), TRAMA-99 line's %15.4 above. Strong uptrend continues. Technical momentum positive.
Price:: 3996.00
TRAMA: 3462.95
Difference: %+15.4
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation ?
RSI thresholds ?

Price Chart ?
RSI (14) ?
Bollinger Bands ?
MACD ?
Gold-Based Price + TRAMA (Stock / Gram Gold) ?
P/E Ratio ?
P/B Ratio ?
EBITDA ?
Net Working Capital ?
Current Ratio ?
4676 — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.