4666PARK24 Co., Ltd.

🇯🇵 Japonya Borsası
1814.50
JPY
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
71/100
Very Strong
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
66/100
Dalio Risk ?
58/100
Piotroski ?
2/9
Weak
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2); Önceki yıl borç/varlık verisi yok → kaldıraç azalması kontrol edilemedi (C5); Current ratio data missing (C6); current assets data missing → turnover calculation unavailable (C9)
Graham ?
Veri Yetersiz
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
72%
Lothien Robustness Summary
63/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Güçlü (63/100)
Genel tablo olumlu. Finansal yapı sağlam, bazı riskler mevcut. | Kısa Vade: Olumlu | Uzun Vade: Nötr | Pozitif: 3 | Negatif: 1 | Nötr: 1
Net Kâr Pozitif
Son çeyrekte ¥5.8B net kâr açıklandı. Şirket kârlı.
Çeyreklik Kâr Artışı
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre %+62.2 arttı (¥3.6B → ¥5.8B). Kısa vadede olumlu momentum.
Makul F/K
Trailing F/K: 13.2. Makul değerleme aralığında.
Lothien Sağlamlık Skoru: 71/100
Bileşik algoritma değerlendirmesine göre şirketin finansal yapısı güçlü görünüyor.
Sonraki Çeyrek: Düşüş Beklentisi
Tahminine göre kâr %-26.8 düşebilir. Sonraki bilançoya dikkat.

Data date 2026-10-23 Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed

Score record
Data date 2026-10-23
Update frequency Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run

Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.

AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.

Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.

WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.

Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error

Risk Analysis (VaR) Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%36.1
VaR 95% ?
%3.72
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%5.27
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.49
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%25.5
20.01.2026 → 08.10.2026
Skewness ?
1.90
Parametrik%3.72
Historik%3.01
Cornish-Fisher%1.76
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
+36.9%
ROIC ?
10.9%
DCF Value ?
4,180.65
Debt Cycle?
Geç Genişleme
Balance Sheet Analysis? Q2026/6
Son 3 çeyrek ardışık kâr
Fiyat TRAMA-99 altında: %-9.3 — teknik trend olumsuz
Direnç seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 2000.31 JPY
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM) %5.9
ROE %5.9 — low return on equity.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM) %4.3
TTM Free Cash Flow is %4.3'i. Moderate FCF — capex constraining operational profit.
Valuation
P/E Ratio 13.2x Sector: 24.4x
F/K 13.2x — sector median's (24.4x) %46 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio 2.76x Sector: 2.32x
PD/DD 2.76x — sector median's (2.32x) %19 above.
EV/EBITDA 6.4x Sector: 10.6x
EV/EBITDA 6.4x — sector median's (10.6x) %40 below. Cheap relative to EBITDA.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio 0.82x
Current ratio 0.82x — short-term liabilities exceed current assets. Liquidity risk.
Net Debt / EBITDA 2.4x
Net Debt/EBITDA 2.4x — manageable debt level.
Debt / Equity 1.49x
Debt/Equity 1.49x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage 18.8x
Interest coverage 18.8x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
71/100
Very strong robustness score (71/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+36.9%
Plus %36.9 expected value (2451.51) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models could be calculated. Model confidence %72.
Components: PE target: 2465.75 | P/B target: 1560.59 | EV/EBITDA target: 2969.48 | DCF target: 4180.65
Damodaran Valuation
66/100
Moderate Damodaran score (66/100). ROIC (%10.9) – WACC (%5.7) difference +5.2 bps. Value creation capacity limited.
Strong
Dalio Risk Analysis
58/100
Moderate debt risk (58/100). Interest coverage ratio 18.8x — strong. Debt/EBITDA 2.4x — manageable.
Leverage: 55/100 | Debt Service: 71/100 | Quality: 81/100
ROIC - Return on Capital
%10.9
ROIC (%10.9) cost of capital 5.2 bps above → company creates value.
WACC: %5.7
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
4,180.65
DCF modeli 4180.65 target value produced — compared to current price %133.4 undervalued.
Current price: 1791.00
Debt Cycle Phase
Geç Genişleme
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
Weak Piotroski (2/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
13.2x vs 24.4x
Sector median's %46 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
2.76x vs 2.32x
Compared to sector %19 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
6.4x vs 10.6x
Compared to sector %40 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%10.9 vs %5.7 WACC
ROIC 5.2 bps above cost of capital
TRAMA-99 Trend — Downtrend
Price (1814.50), TRAMA-99 line's %9.3 below. Downtrend ongoing — technical outlook negative. Pressure may continue until TRAMA is broken above.
Price:: 1814.50
TRAMA: 2000.31
Difference: %-9.3
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation ?
RSI thresholds ?

Price Chart ?
RSI (14) ?
Bollinger Bands ?
MACD ?
Gold-Based Price + TRAMA (Stock / Gram Gold) ?
P/E Ratio ?
P/B Ratio ?
EBITDA ?
Net Working Capital ?
Current Ratio ?
4666 — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.