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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
61/100
Dalio Risk ?
60/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
75%
Valuation
Potential?
+43.3%
ROIC ?
8.2%
DCF Value ?
484.75
Debt Cycle?
Geç Genişleme
Data
Data ?
6850
2000-01-03 → 2026-08-31
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%43.8
VaR 95% ?
%4.46
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%6.34
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%6.56
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%31.3
22.10.2025 → 26.05.2026
Skewness ?
-0.34
Parametrik%4.46
Historik%2.49
Cornish-Fisher%3.98
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Uptrend
Price (57.90), TRAMA-99 line's %15.8 above. Strong uptrend continues. Technical momentum positive.
Price:: 57.9
TRAMA: 50.0042
Difference: %+15.8
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
4.7x
Sector: 8.3x
F/K 4.7x — sector median's (8.3x) %43 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
2.34x
Sector: 1.88x
PD/DD 2.34x — sector median's (1.88x) %25 above.
EV/EBITDA
2.8x
Sector: 2.5x
EV/EBITDA 2.8x — sector median's (2.5x) %12 above. EBITDA’ya göre pahalı.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Net Borç/EBITDA 1.2x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
1.50x
Borç/Özkaynak 1.50x — high leverage. Sensitive to debt cycle changes.
Interest Coverage
18.6x
Interest coverage 18.6x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
70/100
Very strong robustness score (70/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+43.3%
Plus %43.3 expected value (82.94) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 102.14 | P/B target: 52.22 | EV/EBITDA target: 51.42 | DCF target: 173.70
Damodaran Valuation
61/100
Moderate Damodaran score (61/100). ROIC (%8.2) – WACC (%8.0) farkı +0.2 baz puan. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
60/100
Moderate debt risk (60/100). Interest coverage ratio 18.6x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 1.2x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 65/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 33/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%8.2
ROIC (%8.2) slightly exceeds cost of capital (0.2 puan) aşıyor.
WACC: %8.0
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
484.75
DCF modeli 484.75 target value produced — compared to current price %737.2 undervalued.
Current price: 57.90
Debt Cycle Phase
Geç Genişleme
Debt cycle phase: Geç Genişleme
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
4.7x
vs 8.3x
Sector mediannın %43 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
2.34x
vs 1.88x
Compared to sector %25 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
2.8x
vs 2.5x
Compared to sector %12 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%8.2
vs %8.0 WACC
ROIC 0.2 baz puan exceeds cost of capital
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
SW — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.