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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
54/100
Dalio Risk ?
74/100
Piotroski ?
4/9
Neutral
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Previous year data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Graham ?
$29.8
Pahalı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
75%
Valuation
Potential?
+9.5%
ROIC ?
13.3%
DCF Value ?
89.80
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
11259
1981-12-31 → 2026-09-03
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%35.6
VaR 95% ?
%3.46
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%4.99
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.52
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%22.3
04.06.2026 → 01.07.2026
Skewness ?
0.47
Parametrik%3.46
Historik%3.41
Cornish-Fisher%3.03
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Uptrend
Price (58.13), TRAMA-99 line's %11.6 above. Uptrend ongoing; monitor for TRAMA approach for trend change.
Price:: 58.13
TRAMA: 52.0962
Difference: %+11.6
Profitability
Net Profit Margin
%8.5
Net profit margin %8.5 — positive but low. Compared to previous quarter +0.2 point increase.
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%6.0
ROE %6.0 — low return on equity.
EBITDA Margin
%13.0
EBITDA margin %13.0 — moderate operational efficiency.
Gross Profit Margin
%17.7
Gross profit per revenue %17.7. Evaluate relative to sector.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%12.7
TTM Free Cash Flow is %12.7'i. Strong FCF generation — profit quality is high.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
25.5x
Sector: 24.5x
F/K 25.5x — sector median's (24.5x) %4 above. Slight premium.
P/B Ratio
3.30x
Sector: 3.56x
PD/DD 3.30x — sector median (3.56x) below or near. Reasonable valuation.
EV/EBITDA
13.6x
Sector: 13.9x
EV/EBITDA 13.6x — sector median (13.9x) in line.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
1.33x
Current ratio 1.33x — can comfortably cover short-term debts.
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.7x
Net Borç/EBITDA 1.7x — manageable debt level.
Debt / Equity
0.45x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage
12.5x
Interest coverage 12.5x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+5.0
Revenue YoY %5.0 grew — positive but slow growth.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%-24.7
Net profit YoY %-24.7 declined (2025/12) — serious profit erosion.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
58/100
Good robustness (58/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Strong
Potential
+9.5%
Plus %9.5 expected value (63.58) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 55.07 | P/B target: 64.39 | EV/EBITDA target: 59.31 | DCF target: 89.80
Damodaran Valuation
54/100
Moderate Damodaran score (54/100). ROIC (%13.3) – WACC (%8.2) farkı +5.2 baz puan. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
74/100
Low debt risk (74/100). Interest coverage ratio 12.5x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 1.7x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 86/100 | Debt Service: 83/100 | Quality: 86/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%13.3
ROIC (%13.3) cost of capital 5.2 puan aşıyor → company creates value.
WACC: %8.2
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
89.80
DCF modeli 89.80 target value produced — compared to current price %54.6 undervalued.
Current price: 58.08
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Weak Piotroski (4/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Previous year data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
$29.8
Güncel fiyat Graham valuenin %48.7 üzerinde ($29.8) — Expensive by Graham.
Expensive
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
25.5x
vs 24.5x
Sector mediannın %4 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
3.30x
vs 3.56x
Compared to sector %7 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
13.6x
vs 13.9x
Compared to sector %2 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%13.3
vs %8.2 WACC
ROIC 5.2 baz puan exceeds cost of capital
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%9.4
vs %19.5 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %9.4
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
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▼ içeriden satım ·
★ katalizör (haber-sezgisel) ·
■ 13D aktivist ·
■ 13G pasif
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.