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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
51/100
ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır; DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik)
Dalio Risk ?
84/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
69%
Valuation
Potential?
+92.3%
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
3166
2014-02-28 → 2026-08-31
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Düşük
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%19.8
VaR 95% ?
%2.04
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%2.89
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%2.92
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%14.8
29.07.2026 → 28.08.2026
Skewness ?
0.07
Parametrik%2.04
Historik%2.23
Cornish-Fisher%1.97
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (1.95), TRAMA-99 line (1.89) at close levels (%+2.8). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 1.945
TRAMA: 1.8912
Difference: %+2.8
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
1.9x
Sector: 9.0x
F/K 1.9x — sector median's (9.0x) %79 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
0.67x
Sector: 2.35x
PD/DD 0.67x — sector median's (2.35x) çok below. Defter değerine göre undervalued.
EV/EBITDA
4.5x
Sector: 4.0x
EV/EBITDA 4.5x — sector median's (4.0x) %13 above. EBITDA’ya göre pahalı.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.4x
Net Borç/EBITDA 2.4x — manageable debt level.
Debt / Equity
0.77x
Borç/Özkaynak 0.77x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage
6.9x
Interest coverage 6.9x — interest obligations comfortably covered.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
81/100
Very strong robustness score (81/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+92.3%
Plus %92.3 expected value (3.74) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %69.
Components: PE target: 5.83 | P/B target: 5.83 | EV/EBITDA target: 1.72
Damodaran Valuation
51/100
Moderate Damodaran score (51/100). Value creation capacity limited. Minusk/sorunlu: ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır; DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik).
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
84/100
Low debt risk (84/100). Interest coverage ratio 6.9x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 2.4x — manageable.
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 64/100
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
1.9x
vs 9.0x
Sector mediannın %79 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
0.67x
vs 2.35x
Compared to sector %71 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
4.5x
vs 4.0x
Compared to sector %13 higher EV/EBITDA
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
RFF — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.