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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
57/100
Dalio Risk ?
59/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
69%
Valuation
Potential?
+71.7%
ROIC ?
8.4%
Debt Cycle?
Geç Genişleme
Data
Data ?
5584
2004-06-23 → 2026-08-19
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Çok Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%133067.3
VaR 95% ?
%13260.42
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%18973.01
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%14.55
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%99.9
20.04.2026 → 25.06.2026
Skewness ?
15.78
Parametrik%13260.42
Historik%3.69
Cornish-Fisher%-105327.91
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (143.70), TRAMA-99 line (145.69) at close levels (%-1.4). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 143.7
TRAMA: 145.6897
Difference: %-1.4
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
4.1x
Sector: 11.1x
F/K 4.1x — sector median's (11.1x) %63 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
2.24x
Sector: 3.73x
PD/DD 2.24x — sector median's (3.73x) çok below. Defter değerine göre undervalued.
EV/EBITDA
2.9x
Sector: 5.0x
EV/EBITDA 2.9x — sector median's (5.0x) %42 below. EBITDA’ya göre undervalued.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.9x
Net Borç/EBITDA 0.9x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
0.98x
Borç/Özkaynak 0.98x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage
24.5x
Interest coverage 24.5x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
70/100
Good robustness (70/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Strong
Potential
+71.7%
Plus %71.7 expected value (246.74) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %69.
Components: PE target: 386.94 | P/B target: 271.36 | EV/EBITDA target: 245.56
Damodaran Valuation
57/100
Moderate Damodaran score (57/100). ROIC (%8.4) – WACC (%9.5) farkı -1.1 baz puan. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
59/100
Moderate debt risk (59/100). Interest coverage ratio 24.5x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 0.9x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 67/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 37/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%8.4
ROIC (%8.4) cost of capitaln (9.5%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %9.5
Debt Cycle Phase
Geç Genişleme
Debt cycle phase: Geç Genişleme
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
4.1x
vs 11.1x
Sector mediannın %63 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
2.24x
vs 3.73x
Compared to sector %40 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
2.9x
vs 5.0x
Compared to sector %42 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%8.4
vs %9.5 WACC
ROIC 1.1 baz puan cost of capitaln altında
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
NOTE — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.