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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
53/100
ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır
Dalio Risk ?
91/100
Piotroski ?
1/9
Weak
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2); Önceki yıl borç/varlık verisi yok → kaldıraç azalması kontrol edilemedi (C5); Current ratio data missing (C6); gross profit data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8); current assets data missing → turnover calculation unavailable (C9); Banka/finans: kaldıraç/cari-oran/marj kriterleri uygulanamaz, skor kalan kriterlere göre normalize edildi
Graham ?
Veri Yetersiz
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
74%
Valuation
Potential?
+6.7%
DCF Value ?
246.77
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
8441
1993-02-23 → 2026-09-03
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%27.6
VaR 95% ?
%2.71
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%3.90
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%3.90
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%18.8
15.01.2026 → 12.03.2026
Skewness ?
-0.18
Parametrik%2.71
Historik%2.71
Cornish-Fisher%2.76
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (211.82), TRAMA-99 line (210.73) at close levels (%+0.5). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 211.82
TRAMA: 210.7324
Difference: %+0.5
Profitability
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%8.1
ROE %8.1 — low return on equity.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%-10.5
TTM Free Cash Flow is %-10.5'i. Negative FCF — company consuming cash.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
19.9x
Sector: 20.4x
F/K 19.9x — sector medianna (20.4x) near reasonable levels.
P/B Ratio
3.03x
Sector: 3.01x
PD/DD 3.03x — sector median's (3.01x) %1 above.
Indebtedness
Debt / Equity
3.21x
Borç/Özkaynak 3.21x — very high leverage.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+19.1
Revenue YoY %19.1 grew — healthy growth rate.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%+14.5
Net profit YoY %14.5 increased — positive but moderate growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
66/100
Good robustness (66/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Strong
Potential
+6.7%
Plus %6.7 expected value (226.32) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %74.
Components: PE target: 220.89 | P/B target: 219.79 | DCF target: 246.77
Damodaran Valuation
53/100
Moderate Damodaran score (53/100). Value creation capacity limited. Minusk/sorunlu: ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
91/100
Low debt risk (91/100).
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 50/100 | Quality: 91/100
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
246.77
DCF (246.77) near current price (%+16.4) near — in fair value zone.
Current price: 212.07
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
1/9
Weak Piotroski (1/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
19.9x
vs 20.4x
Sector mediannın %2 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
3.03x
vs 3.01x
Compared to sector %1 more expensive (by book value)
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
▲ içeriden alım ·
▼ içeriden satım ·
★ katalizör (haber-sezgisel) ·
■ 13D aktivist ·
■ 13G pasif
— SEC Form 4 ~2 gün gecikmeli, yalnız yönetici/direktör/%10+ sahip; katalizör = haber-sezgisel; 13D/G = %5+ pay bildirimi ~5 iş günü gecikmeli.
İçeriden Alım-Satım Akışı
Kim aldı, kim sattı, ne kadar
MS — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.