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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
31/100
Dalio Risk ?
73/100
Piotroski ?
5/9
Neutral
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Previous year data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Graham ?
$263.4
Pahalı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
72%
Valuation
Potential?
-10.4%
ROIC ?
8.1%
DCF Value ?
236.23
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
8190
1994-02-17 → 2026-09-03
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%28.2
VaR 95% ?
%2.97
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%4.18
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.31
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%28.7
10.02.2026 → 01.09.2026
Skewness ?
-0.42
Parametrik%2.97
Historik%3.33
Cornish-Fisher%3.14
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Downtrend
Price (517.07), TRAMA-99 line's %12.4 below. Downtrend ongoing — technical outlook negative. Pressure may continue until TRAMA is broken above.
Price:: 517.07
TRAMA: 590.2123
Difference: %-12.4
Profitability
Net Profit Margin
%22.4
Net profit margin %22.4 — very strong. Compared to previous quarter +4.3 point increase.
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%4.3
ROE %4.3 — low return on equity.
EBITDA Margin
%36.2
EBITDA margin %36.2 — operationally very efficient.
Gross Profit Margin
%33.1
Gross profit per revenue %33.1. Evaluate relative to sector.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%15.2
TTM Free Cash Flow is %15.2'i. Strong FCF generation — profit quality is high.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
32.0x
Sector: 28.9x
F/K 32.0x — sector median's (28.9x) %11 above. Slight premium.
P/B Ratio
3.79x
Sector: 3.89x
PD/DD 3.79x — sector median (3.89x) below or near. Reasonable valuation.
EV/EBITDA
19.3x
Sector: 16.4x
EV/EBITDA 19.3x — sector median's (16.4x) %17 above. EBITDA’ya göre pahalı.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
2.97x
Current ratio 2.97x — current assets are 2x short-term liabilities. Very healthy liquidity.
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.7x
Net Borç/EBITDA 2.7x — manageable debt level.
Debt / Equity
0.61x
Borç/Özkaynak 0.61x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage
11.7x
Interest coverage 11.7x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+12.4
Revenue YoY %12.4 grew — healthy growth rate.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%+14.0
Net profit YoY %14.0 increased — positive but moderate growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
53/100
Moderate robustness (53/100). Valuation and risk criteria give mixed signals. Detailed review recommended.
Moderate
Potential
-10.4%
Minus %10.4 expected value (465.14) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %72.
Components: PE target: 494.21 | P/B target: 552.25 | EV/EBITDA target: 442.42 | DCF target: 236.23
Damodaran Valuation
31/100
Low Damodaran score (31/100). ROIC (%8.1) below cost of capital. DCF analysis does not support current price.
Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
73/100
Low debt risk (73/100). Interest coverage ratio 11.7x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 2.7x — manageable.
Leverage: 76/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 90/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%8.1
ROIC (%8.1) cost of capitaln (9.3%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %9.3
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
236.23
DCF (236.23) current price %54.5 below — cash flows do not support current price.
Current price: 519.06
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Moderate Piotroski (5/9). Some balance sheet criteria met, some missing. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Previous year data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
$263.4
Güncel fiyat Graham valuenin %49.3 üzerinde ($263.4) — Expensive by Graham.
Expensive
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
32.0x
vs 28.9x
Sector mediannın %11 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
3.79x
vs 3.89x
Compared to sector %3 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
19.3x
vs 16.4x
Compared to sector %17 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%8.1
vs %9.3 WACC
ROIC 1.2 baz puan cost of capitaln altında
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%17.3
vs %33.3 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %17.3
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
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▼ içeriden satım ·
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.