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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
52/100
ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır; DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik)
Dalio Risk ?
79/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
74%
Valuation
Potential?
+100.6%
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
3603
2012-06-13 → 2026-09-02
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%25.6
VaR 95% ?
%2.81
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%3.91
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%3.85
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%39.0
24.10.2025 → 01.09.2026
Skewness ?
-0.18
Parametrik%2.81
Historik%3.00
Cornish-Fisher%2.86
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Downtrend
Price (3.60), TRAMA-99 line's %14.0 below. Downtrend ongoing — technical outlook negative. Pressure may continue until TRAMA is broken above.
Price:: 3.5999999046325684
TRAMA: 4.1878
Difference: %-14.0
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
2.7x
Sector: 9.0x
F/K 2.7x — sector median's (9.0x) %70 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
0.89x
Sector: 2.35x
PD/DD 0.89x — sector median's (2.35x) çok below. Defter değerine göre undervalued.
EV/EBITDA
3.7x
Sector: 4.0x
EV/EBITDA 3.7x — sector median (4.0x) in line.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Net Borç/EBITDA 1.5x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
0.58x
Borç/Özkaynak 0.58x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage
11.5x
Interest coverage 11.5x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
79/100
Very strong robustness score (79/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+100.6%
Plus %100.6 expected value (7.34) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %74.
Components: PE target: 10.98 | P/B target: 10.44 | EV/EBITDA target: 4.02
Damodaran Valuation
52/100
Moderate Damodaran score (52/100). Value creation capacity limited. Minusk/sorunlu: ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır; DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik).
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
79/100
Low debt risk (79/100). Interest coverage ratio 11.5x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 1.5x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 53/100
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
2.7x
vs 9.0x
Sector mediannın %70 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
0.89x
vs 2.35x
Compared to sector %62 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
3.7x
vs 4.0x
Compared to sector %9 lower EV/EBITDA
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
INA — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.