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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
48/100
Dalio Risk ?
76/100
Piotroski ?
5/9
Neutral
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Previous year data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Graham ?
$182.2
Pahalı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
72%
Valuation
Potential?
+6.6%
ROIC ?
13.2%
DCF Value ?
311.88
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
16277
1962-01-02 → 2026-09-03
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%22.3
VaR 95% ?
%2.26
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%3.21
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%2.85
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%14.9
16.01.2026 → 27.04.2026
Skewness ?
0.70
Parametrik%2.26
Historik%2.21
Cornish-Fisher%1.85
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (364.07), TRAMA-99 line (362.50) at close levels (%+0.4). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 364.07
TRAMA: 362.5038
Difference: %+0.4
Profitability
Net Profit Margin
%7.9
Net profit margin %7.9 — positive but low. Compared to previous quarter -0.3 point decrease.
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%8.8
ROE %8.8 — low return on equity.
EBITDA Margin
%12.9
EBITDA margin %12.9 — moderate operational efficiency.
Gross Profit Margin
%14.9
Gross profit per revenue %14.9. Evaluate relative to sector.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%7.5
TTM Free Cash Flow is %7.5'i. Moderate FCF — capex constraining operational profit.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
23.4x
Sector: 27.7x
F/K 23.4x — sector medianna (27.7x) near reasonable levels.
P/B Ratio
3.84x
Sector: 4.59x
PD/DD 3.84x — sector median (4.59x) below or near. Reasonable valuation.
EV/EBITDA
16.5x
Sector: 16.3x
EV/EBITDA 16.5x — sector median's (16.3x) %1 above. EBITDA’ya göre pahalı.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
1.44x
Current ratio 1.44x — can comfortably cover short-term debts.
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Net Borç/EBITDA 1.5x — manageable debt level.
Debt / Equity
0.38x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage
25.0x
Interest coverage 25.0x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+7.8
Revenue YoY %7.8 grew — positive but slow growth.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%-0.4
Net profit YoY %-0.4 declined — profitability under pressure.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
64/100
Good robustness (64/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Strong
Potential
+6.6%
Plus %6.6 expected value (388.15) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %72.
Components: PE target: 439.41 | P/B target: 452.68 | EV/EBITDA target: 360.65 | DCF target: 311.88
Damodaran Valuation
48/100
Low Damodaran score (48/100). DCF analysis does not support current price.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
76/100
Low debt risk (76/100). Interest coverage ratio 25.0x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 1.5x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 86/100 | Debt Service: 86/100 | Quality: 82/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%13.2
ROIC (%13.2) slightly exceeds cost of capital (4.1 puan) aşıyor.
WACC: %9.1
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
311.88
DCF (311.88) current price %14.3 below — cash flows do not support current price.
Current price: 364.02
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Moderate Piotroski (5/9). Some balance sheet criteria met, some missing. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Previous year data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
$182.2
Güncel fiyat Graham valuenin %49.9 üzerinde ($182.2) — Expensive by Graham.
Expensive
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
23.4x
vs 27.7x
Sector mediannın %16 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
3.84x
vs 4.59x
Compared to sector %16 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
16.5x
vs 16.3x
Compared to sector %1 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%13.2
vs %9.1 WACC
ROIC 4.1 baz puan exceeds cost of capital
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%8.0
vs %12.2 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %8.0
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
▲ içeriden alım ·
▼ içeriden satım ·
★ katalizör (haber-sezgisel) ·
■ 13D aktivist ·
■ 13G pasif
— SEC Form 4 ~2 gün gecikmeli, yalnız yönetici/direktör/%10+ sahip; katalizör = haber-sezgisel; 13D/G = %5+ pay bildirimi ~5 iş günü gecikmeli.
İçeriden Alım-Satım Akışı
Kim aldı, kim sattı, ne kadar
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.