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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
45/100
ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır
Dalio Risk ?
92/100
Piotroski ?
4/9
Neutral
Current ratio data missing (C6); gross profit, prev year gross profit data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8); Banka/finans: kaldıraç/cari-oran/marj kriterleri uygulanamaz, skor kalan kriterlere göre normalize edildi
Graham ?
R87.4
Pahalı
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
69%
Valuation
Potential?
-28.0%
DCF Value ?
66.76
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
6822
2000-01-04 → 2026-09-02
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%24.1
VaR 95% ?
%2.39
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%3.43
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%3.20
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%13.4
26.02.2026 → 31.03.2026
Skewness ?
-0.01
Parametrik%2.39
Historik%2.31
Cornish-Fisher%2.33
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Uptrend
Price (9582.00), TRAMA-99 line's %5.4 above. Uptrend ongoing; monitor for TRAMA approach for trend change.
Price:: 9582.0
TRAMA: 9089.3625
Difference: %+5.4
Profitability
Net Profit Margin
%29.3
Net profit margin %29.3 — very strong. Compared to previous quarter +0.0 point increase.
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%9.1
ROE %9.1 — low return on equity.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%0.3
TTM Free Cash Flow is %0.3'i. Moderate FCF — capex constraining operational profit.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.2x
Sector: 9.7x
F/K 12.2x — sector median's (9.7x) %26 above. Slight premium.
P/B Ratio
2.21x
Sector: 1.82x
PD/DD 2.21x — sector median's (1.82x) %21 above.
Indebtedness
Debt / Equity
0.12x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+5.0
Revenue YoY %5.0 grew — positive but slow growth.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%+9.6
Net profit YoY %9.6 increased — positive but moderate growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
53/100
Moderate robustness (53/100). Valuation and risk criteria give mixed signals. Detailed review recommended.
Moderate
Potential
-28.0%
Minus %28.0 expected value (6899.22) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %69.
Components: PE target: 7645.56 | P/B target: 8260.44 | DCF target: 2395.50
Damodaran Valuation
45/100
Low Damodaran score (45/100). DCF analysis does not support current price. Minusk/sorunlu: ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
92/100
Low debt risk (92/100).
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 50/100 | Quality: 92/100
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
66.76
DCF (66.76) current price %99.3 below — cash flows do not support current price.
Current price: 9582.00
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
4/9
Weak Piotroski (4/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Current ratio data missing (C6); gross profit, prev year gross profit data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
R87.4
Graham intrinsic value: R87.4. Pahalı
Expensive
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
12.2x
vs 9.7x
Sector mediannın %26 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
2.21x
vs 1.82x
Compared to sector %21 more expensive (by book value)
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
FSR — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.