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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
13/100
DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik)
Dalio Risk ?
49/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
64%
Valuation
Potential?
-48.0%
ROIC ?
-0.4%
Debt Cycle?
Contraction
Data
Data ?
6000
2002-07-01 → 2026-08-31
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%41.3
VaR 95% ?
%4.33
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%6.11
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%5.01
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%34.8
25.08.2025 → 09.03.2026
Skewness ?
2.50
Parametrik%4.33
Historik%3.90
Cornish-Fisher%1.30
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (821.25), TRAMA-99 line (860.64) at close levels (%-4.6). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 821.25
TRAMA: 860.6433
Difference: %-4.6
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
74.0x
Sector: 14.4x
F/K 74.0x — sector median's (14.4x) %415 above. Expensive zone.
P/B Ratio
38.44x
Sector: 4.32x
PD/DD 38.44x — sector median's %790 above. Expensive book value.
EV/EBITDA
31.5x
Sector: 6.6x
EV/EBITDA 31.5x — sector median's (6.6x) %375 above. EBITDA’ya göre pahalı.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.3x
Net Borç/EBITDA 2.3x — manageable debt level.
Debt / Equity
2.88x
Borç/Özkaynak 2.88x — high leverage. Sensitive to debt cycle changes.
Interest Coverage
4.9x
Interest coverage 4.9x — interest obligations comfortably covered.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
20/100
Very weak robustness (20/100). Multiple critical indicators are red: high debt, low profitability or excessive valuation.
Very Weak
Potential
-48.0%
Minus %48.0 expected value (427.05) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %64.
Components: PE target: 205.31 | P/B target: 205.31 | EV/EBITDA target: 205.31
Damodaran Valuation
13/100
Low Damodaran score (13/100). ROIC (%-0.4) below cost of capital. DCF analysis does not support current price. Minusk/sorunlu: DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik).
Very Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
49/100
High debt risk (49/100). Interest coverage ratio 4.9x — acceptable. Borç/EBITDA 2.3x — manageable.
Leverage: 33/100 | Debt Service: 86/100 | Quality: 29/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%-0.4
ROIC (%-0.4) cost of capitaln (14.9%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %14.9
Debt Cycle Phase
Contraction
High debt service + falling revenues. Balance sheet under pressure.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
74.0x
vs 14.4x
Sector mediannın %415 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
38.44x
vs 4.32x
Compared to sector %790 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
31.5x
vs 6.6x
Compared to sector %375 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%-0.4
vs %14.9 WACC
ROIC 15.3 baz puan cost of capitaln altında
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
FACT — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.