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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
58/100
Dalio Risk ?
61/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
75%
Valuation
Potential?
+77.6%
ROIC ?
4.7%
DCF Value ?
41.56
Debt Cycle?
Geç Genişleme
Data
Data ?
9893
1988-01-29 → 2026-08-31
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%34.8
VaR 95% ?
%3.67
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%5.16
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.98
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%36.6
09.09.2025 → 25.06.2026
Skewness ?
-4.35
Parametrik%3.67
Historik%2.58
Cornish-Fisher%3.58
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (6.02), TRAMA-99 line (5.96) at close levels (%+1.0). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 6.02
TRAMA: 5.9584
Difference: %+1.0
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
5.8x
Sector: 9.5x
F/K 5.8x — sector median's (9.5x) %39 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
1.04x
Sector: 2.74x
PD/DD 1.04x — sector median's (2.74x) çok below. Defter değerine göre undervalued.
EV/EBITDA
3.2x
Sector: 3.2x
EV/EBITDA 3.2x — sector median (3.2x) in line.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.4x
Net Borç/EBITDA 1.4x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
0.79x
Borç/Özkaynak 0.79x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage
11.5x
Interest coverage 11.5x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
77/100
Very strong robustness score (77/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+77.6%
Plus %77.6 expected value (10.69) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 9.90 | P/B target: 16.57 | EV/EBITDA target: 6.06 | DCF target: 18.06
Damodaran Valuation
58/100
Moderate Damodaran score (58/100). ROIC (%4.7) – WACC (%9.1) farkı -4.4 baz puan. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
61/100
Moderate debt risk (61/100). Interest coverage ratio 11.5x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 1.4x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 75/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 33/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%4.7
ROIC (%4.7) cost of capitaln (9.1%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %9.1
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
41.56
DCF modeli 41.56 target value produced — compared to current price %590.4 undervalued.
Current price: 6.02
Debt Cycle Phase
Geç Genişleme
Debt cycle phase: Geç Genişleme
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
5.8x
vs 9.5x
Sector mediannın %39 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
1.04x
vs 2.74x
Compared to sector %62 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
3.2x
vs 3.2x
Compared to sector %1 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%4.7
vs %9.1 WACC
ROIC 4.4 baz puan cost of capitaln altında
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
ELD — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.