Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Downtrend
Price (23.66), TRAMA-99 line's %23.8 below. Significant downtrend. TRAMA line acts as strong technical resistance.
Price:: 23.66
TRAMA: 31.0652
Difference: %-23.8
P/E Ratio
6.1x
Sector: 12.4x
F/K 6.1x — sector median's (12.4x) %51 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
0.33x
Sector: 2.79x
PD/DD 0.33x — sector median's (2.79x) çok below. Defter değerine göre undervalued.
EV/EBITDA
1.9x
Sector: 3.8x
EV/EBITDA 1.9x — sector median's (3.8x) %51 below. EBITDA’ya göre undervalued.
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.5x
Net Borç/EBITDA 1.5x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
0.64x
Borç/Özkaynak 0.64x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage
15.0x
Interest coverage 15.0x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
77/100
Very strong robustness score (77/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+109.9%
Plus %109.9 expected value (49.65) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 47.98 | P/B target: 70.98 | EV/EBITDA target: 47.92 | DCF target: 70.98
Damodaran Valuation
61/100
Moderate Damodaran score (61/100). ROIC (%3.5) – WACC (%6.1) farkı -2.7 baz puan. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
64/100
Moderate debt risk (64/100). Interest coverage ratio 15.0x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 1.5x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 75/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 36/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%3.5
ROIC (%3.5) cost of capitaln (6.1%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %6.1
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
962.70
DCF modeli 962.70 target value produced — compared to current price %3968.9 undervalued.
Current price: 23.66
Debt Cycle Phase
Geç Genişleme
Debt cycle phase: Geç Genişleme
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
Sector mediannın %51 below — cheap
Compared to sector %88 cheaper (by book value)
Compared to sector %51 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC 2.7 baz puan cost of capitaln altında
Analyst Views and Target Price — external source
Bu bölümdeki dereceler ve hedef fiyat, aracı kurum analistlerinin kendi
beyanlarıdır; Lothien'in görüşü değildir ve doğrulanmamıştır.
This is not investment advice.
DOM — Participation Finance Compliance
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