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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
61/100
Dalio Risk ?
66/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
75%
Valuation
Potential?
+46.6%
ROIC ?
7.2%
DCF Value ?
501.09
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
6466
2001-06-22 → 2026-08-31
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Çok Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%95.9
VaR 95% ?
%9.58
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%13.70
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%8.66
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%38.2
18.03.2026 → 25.06.2026
Skewness ?
4.12
Parametrik%9.58
Historik%2.83
Cornish-Fisher%-5.11
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (23.56), TRAMA-99 line (22.93) at close levels (%+2.8). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 23.56
TRAMA: 22.9259
Difference: %+2.8
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
3.8x
Sector: 6.9x
F/K 3.8x — sector median's (6.9x) %44 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
2.18x
Sector: 1.78x
PD/DD 2.18x — sector median's (1.78x) %22 above.
EV/EBITDA
2.3x
Sector: 2.3x
EV/EBITDA 2.3x — sector median's (2.3x) %1 above. EBITDA’ya göre pahalı.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Net Borç/EBITDA 1.2x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
1.70x
Borç/Özkaynak 1.70x — high leverage. Sensitive to debt cycle changes.
Interest Coverage
18.6x
Interest coverage 18.6x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
68/100
Good robustness (68/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Strong
Potential
+46.6%
Plus %46.6 expected value (34.53) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 42.30 | P/B target: 22.00 | EV/EBITDA target: 23.45 | DCF target: 70.68
Damodaran Valuation
61/100
Moderate Damodaran score (61/100). ROIC (%7.2) – WACC (%8.0) farkı -0.8 baz puan. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
66/100
Moderate debt risk (66/100). Interest coverage ratio 18.6x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 1.2x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 71/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 39/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%7.2
ROIC (%7.2) cost of capitaln (8.0%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %8.0
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
501.09
DCF modeli 501.09 target value produced — compared to current price %2026.9 undervalued.
Current price: 23.56
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
3.8x
vs 6.9x
Sector mediannın %44 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
2.18x
vs 1.78x
Compared to sector %22 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
2.3x
vs 2.3x
Compared to sector %1 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%7.2
vs %8.0 WACC
ROIC 0.8 baz puan cost of capitaln altında
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
DEC — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.