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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
61/100
Dalio Risk ?
88/100
Piotroski ?
5/9
Neutral
prev year gross profit data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Graham ?
$59.5
Pahalı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
75%
Valuation
Potential?
+101.5%
ROIC ?
16.7%
DCF Value ?
91.55
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
7096
1998-06-19 → 2026-09-03
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%40.2
VaR 95% ?
%4.18
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%5.90
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%5.93
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%55.3
14.01.2026 → 30.06.2026
Skewness ?
-0.11
Parametrik%4.18
Historik%3.60
Cornish-Fisher%4.04
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Uptrend
Price (63.40), TRAMA-99 line's %13.6 above. Uptrend ongoing; monitor for TRAMA approach for trend change.
Price:: 63.4
TRAMA: 55.7952
Difference: %+13.6
Profitability
Net Profit Margin
%11.6
Net profit margin %11.6 — at healthy level. Compared to previous quarter -0.6 point decrease.
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%15.0
ROE %15.0 — moderate return on equity.
EBITDA Margin
%18.8
EBITDA margin %18.8 — good operational performance.
Gross Profit Margin
%33.4
Gross profit per revenue %33.4. Evaluate relative to sector.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%12.0
TTM Free Cash Flow is %12.0'i. Strong FCF generation — profit quality is high.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
12.8x
Sector: 32.7x
F/K 12.8x — sector median's (32.7x) %61 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
1.97x
Sector: 4.59x
PD/DD 1.97x — sector median's (4.59x) çok below. Defter değerine göre undervalued.
EV/EBITDA
7.2x
Sector: 21.8x
EV/EBITDA 7.2x — sector median's (21.8x) %67 below. EBITDA’ya göre undervalued.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
2.18x
Current ratio 2.18x — current assets are 2x short-term liabilities. Very healthy liquidity.
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Net Borç/EBITDA 0.5x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
0.14x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage
113.9x
Interest coverage 113.9x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+4.5
Revenue YoY %4.5 grew — positive but slow growth.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%-1.4
Net profit YoY %-1.4 declined — profitability under pressure.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
76/100
Very strong robustness score (76/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+101.5%
Plus %101.5 expected value (127.56) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 176.19 | P/B target: 152.21 | EV/EBITDA target: 189.93 | DCF target: 91.55
Damodaran Valuation
61/100
Moderate Damodaran score (61/100). ROIC (%16.7) – WACC (%10.7) farkı +6.0 baz puan. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
88/100
Low debt risk (88/100). Interest coverage ratio 113.9x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 0.5x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 91/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 88/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%16.7
ROIC (%16.7) cost of capital 6.0 puan aşıyor → company creates value.
WACC: %10.7
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
91.55
DCF modeli 91.55 target value produced — compared to current price %44.6 undervalued.
Current price: 63.31
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Moderate Piotroski (5/9). Some balance sheet criteria met, some missing. Note: prev year gross profit data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
$59.5
Graham value ($59.5) near current price (%-6.0). In fair price zone.
Expensive
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
12.8x
vs 32.7x
Sector mediannın %61 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
1.97x
vs 4.59x
Compared to sector %57 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
7.2x
vs 21.8x
Compared to sector %67 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%16.7
vs %10.7 WACC
ROIC 6.0 baz puan exceeds cost of capital
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%10.3
vs %19.0 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %10.3
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
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▼ içeriden satım ·
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■ 13D aktivist ·
■ 13G pasif
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.