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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
40/100
Dalio Risk ?
78/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
72%
Valuation
Potential?
+28.0%
ROIC ?
16.9%
DCF Value ?
1,663.56
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
6815
2000-01-17 → 2026-09-02
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%36.4
VaR 95% ?
%3.87
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%5.43
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.96
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%31.4
16.09.2025 → 02.09.2026
Skewness ?
0.56
Parametrik%3.87
Historik%3.96
Cornish-Fisher%3.33
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Downtrend
Price (10864.00), TRAMA-99 line's %21.9 below. Significant downtrend. TRAMA line acts as strong technical resistance.
Price:: 10864.0
TRAMA: 13906.177
Difference: %-21.9
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
2.7x
Sector: 4.5x
F/K 2.7x — sector median's (4.5x) %41 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
1.20x
Sector: 1.48x
PD/DD 1.20x — sector median (1.48x) below or near. Reasonable valuation.
EV/EBITDA
0.8x
Sector: 1.6x
EV/EBITDA 0.8x — sector median's (1.6x) %49 below. EBITDA’ya göre undervalued.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Net Borç/EBITDA 0.8x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
0.89x
Borç/Özkaynak 0.89x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage
11.5x
Interest coverage 11.5x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
70/100
Very strong robustness score (70/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+28.0%
Plus %28.0 expected value (13906.56) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %72.
Components: PE target: 18453.13 | P/B target: 14886.29 | EV/EBITDA target: 21156.28 | DCF target: 2716.00
Damodaran Valuation
40/100
Low Damodaran score (40/100). DCF analysis does not support current price.
Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
78/100
Low debt risk (78/100). Interest coverage ratio 11.5x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 0.8x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 79/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 32/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%16.9
ROIC (%16.9) slightly exceeds cost of capital (2.0 puan) aşıyor.
WACC: %14.9
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
1,663.56
DCF (1663.56) current price %84.7 below — cash flows do not support current price.
Current price: 10864.00
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
2.7x
vs 4.5x
Sector mediannın %41 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
1.20x
vs 1.48x
Compared to sector %19 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
0.8x
vs 1.6x
Compared to sector %49 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%16.9
vs %14.9 WACC
ROIC 2.0 baz puan exceeds cost of capital
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
CSB — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.