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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
54/100
Dalio Risk ?
88/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
75%
Valuation
Potential?
-17.9%
ROIC ?
12.2%
DCF Value ?
382.69
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
6843
2000-01-03 → 2026-08-31
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Çok Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%1741.7
VaR 95% ?
%171.40
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%246.17
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%17.63
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%94.0
20.02.2026 → 09.06.2026
Skewness ?
11.03
Parametrik%171.40
Historik%2.95
Cornish-Fisher%-690.36
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (283.80), TRAMA-99 line (275.35) at close levels (%+3.1). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 283.8
TRAMA: 275.3466
Difference: %+3.1
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
22.4x
Sector: 12.1x
F/K 22.4x — sector median's (12.1x) %85 above. Expensive zone.
P/B Ratio
3.29x
Sector: 2.17x
PD/DD 3.29x — sector median's %51 above. Expensive book value.
EV/EBITDA
13.9x
Sector: 8.7x
EV/EBITDA 13.9x — sector median's (8.7x) %60 above. EBITDA’ya göre pahalı.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
1.06x
Current ratio 1.06x — borderline, attention required.
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Net Borç/EBITDA 0.1x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
0.03x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage
158.8x
Interest coverage 158.8x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
46/100
Moderate robustness (46/100). Valuation and risk criteria give mixed signals. Detailed review recommended.
Moderate
Potential
-17.9%
Minus %17.9 expected value (232.85) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 153.96 | P/B target: 194.72 | EV/EBITDA target: 177.84 | DCF target: 382.69
Damodaran Valuation
54/100
Moderate Damodaran score (54/100). ROIC (%12.2) – WACC (%10.2) farkı +2.0 baz puan. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
88/100
Low debt risk (88/100). Interest coverage ratio 158.8x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 0.1x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 98/100 | Debt Service: 76/100 | Quality: 80/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%12.2
ROIC (%12.2) slightly exceeds cost of capital (2.0 puan) aşıyor.
WACC: %10.2
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
382.69
DCF modeli 382.69 target value produced — compared to current price %34.8 undervalued.
Current price: 283.80
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
22.4x
vs 12.1x
Sector mediannın %85 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
3.29x
vs 2.17x
Compared to sector %51 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
13.9x
vs 8.7x
Compared to sector %60 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%12.2
vs %10.2 WACC
ROIC 2.0 baz puan exceeds cost of capital
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
AM — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.