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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
14/100
Dalio Risk ?
75/100
Piotroski ?
0/9
Weak
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2); Operating cash flow data missing (C3, C4); Önceki yıl borç/varlık verisi yok → kaldıraç azalması kontrol edilemedi (C5); Current period current ratio missing (C6); gross profit, revenue data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8); revenue, current assets data missing → turnover calculation unavailable (C9)
Graham ?
Veri Yetersiz
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
75%
Valuation
Potential?
-56.2%
ROIC ?
2.3%
DCF Value ?
2.81
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
1437
2020-07-16 → 2026-07-06
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%48.2
VaR 95% ?
%4.74
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%6.81
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%5.60
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%34.5
30.09.2025 → 03.04.2026
Skewness ?
1.15
Parametrik%4.74
Historik%4.00
Cornish-Fisher%3.32
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Uptrend
Price (143.99), TRAMA-99 line's %17.5 above. Strong uptrend continues. Technical momentum positive.
Price:: 143.99
TRAMA: 122.5017
Difference: %+17.5
Profitability
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%11.0
ROE %11.0 — moderate return on equity.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%-16.3
TTM Free Cash Flow is %-16.3'i. Negative FCF — company consuming cash.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
100.0x
Sector: 31.8x
F/K 100.0x — sector median's (31.8x) %214 above. Expensive zone.
P/B Ratio
53.74x
Sector: 2.94x
PD/DD 53.74x — sector median's %1728 above. Expensive book value.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
2.29x
Current ratio 2.29x — current assets are 2x short-term liabilities. Very healthy liquidity.
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.6x
Net Borç/EBITDA 2.6x — manageable debt level.
Debt / Equity
0.59x
Borç/Özkaynak 0.59x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage
15.4x
Interest coverage 15.4x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%+48.7
Net profit YoY %48.7 increased — strong profit growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
27/100
Weak robustness (27/100). Valuation metrics and/or debt profile are unfavorable; caution is needed.
Weak
Potential
-56.2%
Minus %56.2 expected value (63.00) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 36.00 | P/B target: 36.00 | EV/EBITDA target: 36.00 | DCF target: 36.00
Damodaran Valuation
14/100
Low Damodaran score (14/100). ROIC (%2.3) below cost of capital. DCF analysis does not support current price.
Very Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
75/100
Low debt risk (75/100). Interest coverage ratio 15.4x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 2.6x — manageable.
Leverage: 60/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 67/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%2.3
ROIC (%2.3) cost of capitaln (9.4%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %9.4
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
2.81
DCF (2.81) current price %98.1 below — cash flows do not support current price.
Current price: 143.99
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
0/9
Weak Piotroski (0/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
100.0x
vs 31.8x
Sector mediannın %214 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
53.74x
vs 2.94x
Compared to sector %1728 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
237.3x
vs 20.9x
Compared to sector %1034 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%2.3
vs %9.4 WACC
ROIC 7.2 baz puan cost of capitaln altında
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
688981 — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.