6810SUNMI TECH-W

🇭🇰 Hong Kong Borsası
60.80
HKD
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
33/100
Weak
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
29/100
Dalio Risk ?
76/100
Piotroski ?
5/9
Neutral
Graham ?
HK$9.5
Pahalı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
75%
Lothien Robustness Summary
50/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Orta (50/100)
Karışık sinyaller. Hem olumlu hem olumsuz göstergeler mevcut. | Kısa Vade: Nötr | Uzun Vade: Nötr | Pozitif: 2 | Negatif: 2 | Nötr: 2
Net Kâr Pozitif
Son çeyrekte HK$66M net kâr açıklandı. Şirket kârlı.
Kâr Stabil
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre fazla değişmedi (%+0.0). İstikrarlı seyir.
Net Nakit Pozisyonu
Şirketin nakdi borçlarından HK$4M fazla. Borç riski düşük.
Yüksek F/K Uyarısı
Trailing F/K: 66.6. Piyasa yüksek büyüme bekliyor ya da hisse pahalı. Büyüme gerçekleşmezse düşüş riski yüksek.
Yüksek PD/DD
PD/DD: 7.08. Piyasa defter değerinin çok üstünde fiyatlıyor. Büyüme beklentisi primli.
Yüksek EV/EBITDA
EV/EBITDA: 43.7. Pahalı değerleme.

Data date 2026-10-23 Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed

Score record
Data date 2026-10-23
Update frequency Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run

Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.

AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.

Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.

WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.

Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error

Risk Analysis (VaR) Çok Yüksek
121 days
Annual Volatility ?
%68.5
VaR 95% ?
%7.28
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%10.22
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%9.35
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%44.4
29.04.2026 → 30.09.2026
Skewness ?
-0.21
Parametrik%7.28
Historik%7.03
Cornish-Fisher%7.49
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
-55.2%
ROIC ?
12.3%
DCF Value ?
9.54
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Balance Sheet Analysis? Q2025/12
Net kâr çeyreklik yatay seyrede (65.5M HKD, %+0.0)
Yıllık net kâr büyümesi %+23.0
Hasılat çeyreklik yatay kaldı (1.1B HKD)
Yıllık hasılat büyümesi güçlü (%+10.3)
Brüt kâr marjı: %31.3
Net kâr marjı: %5.8
FAVÖK yatay seyrede (99.7M HKD)
FAVÖK marjı düşük: %8.9
Toplam borç: 1.7B HKD
Net nakit pozisyonunda: -4.0M HKD (borçsuz)
Borç/Özkaynak oranı: 0.70x
Cari oran: 1.32x — yeterli likidite
Nakit ve benzerleri: 1.7B HKD
İşletme nakit akışı pozitif: 61.8M HKD
Serbest nakit akışı pozitif: 49.5M HKD
ROE düşük: %2.7
ROA düşük: %1.0
Toplam varlıklar: 6.3B HKD (%+0.0)
Özkaynak: 2.5B HKD (%+0.0)
İşletme kârı pozitif: 81.5M HKD
Faiz karşılama oranı güçlü: 11.8x (Faiz: 8.5M HKD)
Ödenmiş sermaye: 402.6M HKD
Net işletme sermayesi pozitif: 1.2B HKD
CAPEX: 12.3M HKD (Hasılatın %1.1'i)
Son 8 çeyrek ardışık kâr
Fiyat TRAMA-99 üzerinde: %+11.6 — teknik trend olumlu
Destek seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 54.50 HKD
Likit varlık ağırlığı yüksek: Dönen varlıklar toplam varlıkların %79'i
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
Net Profit Margin %5.8
Net profit margin %5.8 — positive but low. Compared to previous quarter +0.0 point increase.
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM) %10.6
ROE %10.6 — moderate return on equity.
EBITDA Margin %8.9
EBITDA margin %8.9 — moderate operational efficiency.
Gross Profit Margin %31.3
Gross profit per revenue %31.3. Evaluate relative to sector.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM) %4.4
TTM Free Cash Flow is %4.4'i. Moderate FCF — capex constraining operational profit.
Valuation
P/E Ratio 66.6x Sector: 18.5x
F/K 66.6x — sector median's (18.5x) %259 above. Expensive zone.
P/B Ratio 7.08x Sector: 2.25x
PD/DD 7.08x — sector median's %215 above. Expensive book value.
EV/EBITDA 43.7x Sector: 10.9x
EV/EBITDA 43.7x — sector median's (10.9x) %301 above. Expensive relative to EBITDA.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio 1.32x
Current ratio 1.32x — can comfortably cover short-term debts.
Net Debt / EBITDA 4.3x
Net Debt/EBITDA 4.3x — high debt burden. Debt service creating pressure.
Debt / Equity 0.70x
Debt/Equity 0.70x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage 11.8x
Interest coverage 11.8x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY) %+10.3
Revenue YoY %10.3 grew — healthy growth rate.
Net Profit Growth (YoY) %+23.0
Net profit YoY %23.0 increased — strong profit growth.
Seasonality Analysis Q1 (Oca-Mar)
Historically strongest quarter: Q1 (Jan-Mar) (avg. profit 59.4M). Weakest quarter: Q4 (Oct-Dec) (avg. profit 49.5M).
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
33/100
Weak robustness (33/100). Valuation metrics and/or debt profile are unfavorable; caution is needed.
Weak
Potential
-55.2%
Minus %55.2 expected value (26.13) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models could be calculated. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 16.39 | P/B target: 19.06 | EV/EBITDA target: 14.59 | DCF target: 14.59
Damodaran Valuation
29/100
Low Damodaran score (29/100). DCF analysis does not support current price.
Very Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
76/100
Low debt risk (76/100). Interest coverage ratio 11.8x — strong. Debt/EBITDA 4.3x — high debt burden.
Leverage: 39/100 | Debt Service: 83/100 | Quality: 78/100
ROIC - Return on Capital
%12.3
ROIC (%12.3) slightly exceeds cost of capital (1.3 points).
WACC: %11.0
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
9.54
DCF (9.54) current price %83.6 below — cash flows do not support current price.
Current price: 58.35
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Moderate Piotroski (5/9). Some balance sheet criteria met, some missing.
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
HK$9.5
Expensive
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
66.6x vs 18.5x
Sector median's %259 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
7.08x vs 2.25x
Compared to sector %215 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
43.7x vs 10.9x
Compared to sector %301 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%12.3 vs %11.0 WACC
ROIC 1.3 bps above cost of capital
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%5.8 vs %8.9 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %5.8
TRAMA-99 Trend — Uptrend
Price (60.80), TRAMA-99 line's %11.6 above. Uptrend ongoing; monitor for TRAMA approach for trend change.
Price:: 60.80
TRAMA: 54.50
Difference: %+11.6
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation ?
RSI thresholds ?

Price Chart ?
RSI (14) ?
Bollinger Bands ?
MACD ?
Gold-Based Price + TRAMA (Stock / Gram Gold) ?
6810 — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.