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547AMuninova Holdings Inc.

Diğer
🇯🇵 Japonya Borsası
394.00
JPY
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
71/100
Very Strong
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
58/100
Dalio Risk ?
42/100
Piotroski ?
0/9
Weak
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2); Operating cash flow data missing (C3, C4); Önceki yıl borç/varlık verisi yok → kaldıraç azalması kontrol edilemedi (C5); Current period current ratio missing (C6); gross profit, revenue data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8); revenue, current assets data missing → turnover calculation unavailable (C9)
Graham ?
Veri Yetersiz
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
72%
Lothien Robustness Summary
75/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Çok Güçlü (75/100)
Temel göstergelerin büyük çoğunluğu pozitif. Kârlılık, büyüme ve değerleme açısından güçlü görünüm. | Kısa Vade: Olumlu | Uzun Vade: Nötr | Pozitif: 6 | Negatif: 2 | Nötr: 0
Net Kâr Pozitif
Son çeyrekte ¥10.5B net kâr açıklandı. Şirket kârlı.
Çeyreklik Kâr Artışı
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre %+161.5 arttı (¥4.0B → ¥10.5B). Kısa vadede olumlu momentum.
Yıllık Kâr Büyümesi Güçlü
Geçen yılın aynı dönemine göre net kâr %+86.3 arttı. Büyüme trendi sağlıklı.
Çok Düşük F/K
Trailing F/K: 4.5. Piyasa şirketi kârına göre düşük fiyatlıyor. Ucuz görünüyor ama sebebi araştırılmalı.
Defter Değerinin Altında
PD/DD: 0.81. Hisse defter değerinin altında işlem görüyor. Değer tuzağı mı yoksa fırsat mı iyi analiz edilmeli.
Yüksek EV/EBITDA
EV/EBITDA: 32.2. Pahalı değerleme.
Lothien Sağlamlık Skoru: 71/100
Bileşik algoritma değerlendirmesine göre şirketin finansal yapısı güçlü görünüyor.
Sonraki Çeyrek: Düşüş Beklentisi
Tahminine göre kâr %-42.8 düşebilir. Sonraki bilançoya dikkat.

Data date 2026-10-30 Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed

Score record
Method How the scores are computed · Scorecard
Data date 2026-10-30
Update frequency Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run

Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.

AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.

Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.

WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.

Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error

Risk Analysis (VaR) Orta
145 days
Annual Volatility ?
%30.5
VaR 95% ?
%3.25
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%4.56
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.33
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%19.8
28.04.2026 → 27.10.2026
Skewness ?
0.18
Parametrik%3.25
Historik%3.28
Cornish-Fisher%3.12
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
+64.9%
ROIC ?
2.3%
DCF Value ?
1,934.51
Debt Cycle?
Contraction
Balance Sheet Analysis? Q2026/6
Yıllık net kâr büyümesi %+161.5
Ödenmiş sermaye: 479.0M JPY
Son 5 çeyrek ardışık kâr
Fiyat TRAMA-99 altında: %-11.8 — teknik trend olumsuz
Direnç seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 446.61 JPY
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM) %4.8
ROE %4.8 — low return on equity.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM) %-57.2
TTM Free Cash Flow is %-57.2'i. Negative FCF — company consuming cash.
Valuation
P/E Ratio 4.5x Sector: 16.6x
F/K 4.5x — sector median's (16.6x) %73 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio 0.81x Sector: 1.41x
PD/DD 0.81x — sector median's (1.41x) well below. Cheap relative to book value.
EV/EBITDA 32.2x Sector: 20.8x
EV/EBITDA 32.2x — sector median's (20.8x) %55 above. Expensive relative to EBITDA.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio 1.66x
Current ratio 1.66x — can comfortably cover short-term debts.
Net Debt / EBITDA 27.4x
Net Debt/EBITDA 27.4x — excessive leverage. Fragile debt profile.
Debt / Equity 3.54x
Debt/Equity 3.54x — very high leverage.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY) %+15.9
Revenue YoY %15.9 grew — healthy growth rate.
Net Profit Growth (YoY) %+161.5
Net profit YoY %161.5 increased (2026/6) — extraordinary profit growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
71/100
Very strong robustness score (71/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+64.9%
Plus %64.9 expected value (643.23) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models could be calculated. Model confidence %72.
Components: PE target: 903.06 | P/B target: 695.39 | EV/EBITDA target: 251.80 | DCF target: 1170.00
Damodaran Valuation
58/100
Moderate Damodaran score (58/100). ROIC (%2.3) – WACC (%3.0) difference -0.7 bps. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
42/100
High debt risk (42/100). Debt/EBITDA 27.4x — high debt burden.
Leverage: 6/100 | Debt Service: 83/100 | Quality: 84/100
ROIC - Return on Capital
%2.3
ROIC (%2.3) cost of capital (3.0%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %3.0
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
1,934.51
DCF modeli 1934.51 target value produced — compared to current price %396.0 undervalued.
Current price: 390.00
Debt Cycle Phase
Contraction
High debt service + falling revenues. Balance sheet under pressure.
Piotroski F-Score
0/9
Weak Piotroski (0/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Total assets data missing → ROA cannot be calculated (C2)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
4.5x vs 16.6x
Sector median's %73 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
0.81x vs 1.41x
Compared to sector %42 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
32.2x vs 20.8x
Compared to sector %55 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%2.3 vs %3.0 WACC
ROIC 0.7 bps below cost of capital
TRAMA-99 Trend — Downtrend
Price (394.00), TRAMA-99 line's %11.8 below. Downtrend ongoing — technical outlook negative. Pressure may continue until TRAMA is broken above.
Price:: 394.00
TRAMA: 446.61
Difference: %-11.8
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation ?
RSI thresholds ?

Price Chart ?
RSI (14) ?
Bollinger Bands ?
MACD ?
Gold-Based Price + TRAMA (Stock / Gram Gold) ?
P/E Ratio ?
P/B Ratio ?
EBITDA ?
Net Working Capital ?
Current Ratio ?
547A — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.