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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
63/100
ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır
Dalio Risk ?
90/100
Piotroski ?
3/9
Weak
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Current ratio data missing (C6); gross profit data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8); Banka/finans: kaldıraç/cari-oran/marj kriterleri uygulanamaz, skor kalan kriterlere göre normalize edildi
Graham ?
NT$119.7
Pahalı
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
69%
Valuation
Potential?
+13.9%
DCF Value ?
200.98
Debt Cycle?
Geç Genişleme
Data
Data ?
6120
2001-12-20 → 2026-09-03
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%27.9
VaR 95% ?
%2.66
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%3.86
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%3.08
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%13.7
22.06.2026 → 02.07.2026
Skewness ?
0.88
Parametrik%2.66
Historik%2.15
Cornish-Fisher%2.09
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Uptrend
Price (147.00), TRAMA-99 line's %20.3 above. Strong uptrend continues. Technical momentum positive.
Price:: 147.0
TRAMA: 122.211
Difference: %+20.3
Profitability
Net Profit Margin
%21.1
Net profit margin %21.1 — very strong. Compared to previous quarter -10.7 point decrease.
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%7.2
ROE %7.2 — low return on equity.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%1.5
TTM Free Cash Flow is %1.5'i. Moderate FCF — capex constraining operational profit.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
16.7x
Sector: 14.0x
F/K 16.7x — sector median's (14.0x) %19 above. Slight premium.
P/B Ratio
2.05x
Sector: 2.31x
PD/DD 2.05x — sector median (2.31x) below or near. Reasonable valuation.
Indebtedness
Debt / Equity
0.61x
Borç/Özkaynak 0.61x — moderate financial leverage.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+39.6
Revenue YoY %39.6 grew (2025/12) — strong growth. Sector expansion and/or market share increase.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%+1.8
Net profit YoY %1.8 increased — positive but moderate growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
66/100
Good robustness (66/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Strong
Potential
+13.9%
Plus %13.9 expected value (163.97) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %69.
Components: PE target: 112.89 | P/B target: 167.42 | DCF target: 200.98
Damodaran Valuation
63/100
Moderate Damodaran score (63/100). Value creation capacity limited. Minusk/sorunlu: ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
90/100
Low debt risk (90/100).
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 50/100 | Quality: 90/100
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
200.98
DCF modeli 200.98 target value produced — compared to current price %39.6 undervalued.
Current price: 144.00
Debt Cycle Phase
Geç Genişleme
Debt cycle phase: Geç Genişleme
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
Weak Piotroski (3/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Current ratio data missing (C6)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
NT$119.7
Graham intrinsic value: NT$119.7. Pahalı
Expensive
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
16.7x
vs 14.0x
Sector mediannın %19 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
2.05x
vs 2.31x
Compared to sector %11 cheaper (by book value)
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
2881 — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.