2706Beijing Haizhi Tech Grp Co Ltd

🇭🇰 Hong Kong Borsası
30.62
HKD
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
31/100
Weak
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
39/100
ROIC hesaplanamadı: yatırılan sermaye ≤ 0 (özkaynak + net borç) — bu bilançoda ROIC paydası tanımsız; DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik)
Dalio Risk ?
32/100
Piotroski ?
5/9
Neutral
Graham ?
Veri Yetersiz
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
Lothien Robustness Summary
61/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Güçlü (61/100)
Genel tablo olumlu. Finansal yapı sağlam, bazı riskler mevcut. | Kısa Vade: Olumlu | Uzun Vade: Nötr | Pozitif: 7 | Negatif: 4 | Nötr: 1
Net Kâr Pozitif
Son çeyrekte HK$6M net kâr açıklandı. Şirket kârlı.
Çeyreklik Kâr Artışı
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre %+106.6 arttı (-HK$98M → HK$6M). Kısa vadede olumlu momentum.
Yıllık Kâr Geriledi
Geçen yılın aynı dönemine göre net kâr %-91.4 düştü. Uzun vadede endişe verici.
Hasılat Büyümesi Güçlü
Satış gelirleri çeyreklik %+392.0 arttı (HK$89M → HK$437M). Talep güçlü.
Brüt Marj Genişliyor
Brüt kâr marjı %42.5 → %45.7 (+3.2 puan). Fiyatlama gücü artıyor veya maliyetler düşüyor.
Çok Düşük Net Kâr Marjı
Net kâr marjı sadece %1.5. Küçük bir maliyet artışı şirketi zarara sokabilir.
Net Nakit Pozisyonu
Şirketin nakdi borçlarından HK$506M fazla. Borç riski düşük.
Likidite Riski
Cari oran 0.37x — kısa vadeli borçları karşılama kapasitesi düşük. Nakit sıkışıklığı riski var.
Güçlü Nakit Üretimi
Serbest nakit akışı (HK$104M) kârın %1604'sini nakit olarak üretiyor. Kâr kalitesi yüksek.
FAVÖK Büyümesi
FAVÖK çeyreklik %+115.8 arttı (-HK$98M → HK$16M). Operasyonel verimlilik artıyor.
Mevsimsel Toparlanma, Ama Trend Bozuk
Çeyreklik artış (%+106.6) ama yıllık bazda düşüş (%-91.4). Mevsimsel toparlanma var ama uzun vadeli trend zayıf.
Sonraki Çeyrek: Düşüş Beklentisi
Tahminine göre kâr %-1006.5 düşebilir. Sonraki bilançoya dikkat.

Data date 2026-10-22 Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed

Score record
Data date 2026-10-22
Update frequency Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run

Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.

AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.

Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.

WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.

Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error

Risk Analysis (VaR) Çok Yüksek
167 days
Annual Volatility ?
%166.7
VaR 95% ?
%17.48
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%24.63
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%14.14
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%86.1
20.02.2026 → 30.07.2026
Skewness ?
3.77
Parametrik%17.48
Historik%11.40
Cornish-Fisher%-1.70
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
-
Debt Cycle?
Contraction
Balance Sheet Analysis? Q2026/6
Fiyat TRAMA-99 altında: %-24.8 — teknik trend olumsuz
Direnç seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 40.74 HKD
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
Net Profit Margin %1.5
Net profit margin %1.5 — positive but low. Compared to previous quarter +111.5 point increase.
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM) %5.3
ROE %5.3 — low return on equity.
EBITDA Margin %3.6
EBITDA margin %3.6 — low but positive.
Gross Profit Margin %45.7
Gross profit per revenue %45.7. Strong pricing power.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM) %-9.8
TTM Free Cash Flow is %-9.8'i. Negative FCF — company consuming cash.
Valuation
No sector data
Indebtedness
Current Ratio 0.37x
Current ratio 0.37x — short-term liabilities exceed current assets. Liquidity risk.
Interest Coverage -513.6x
Interest coverage -513.6x — critical level. Risk of difficulty in interest payments.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY) %+28.1
Revenue YoY %28.1 grew — healthy growth rate.
Net Profit Growth (YoY) %-91.4
Net profit YoY %-91.4 declined (2025/12) — serious profit erosion.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
31/100
Weak robustness (31/100). Valuation metrics and/or debt profile are unfavorable; caution is needed.
Weak
Damodaran Valuation
39/100
Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
32/100
High debt risk (32/100). Interest coverage ratio -513.6x — weak, fragile.
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 19/100 | Quality: 23/100
Debt Cycle Phase
Contraction
High debt service + falling revenues. Balance sheet under pressure.
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Moderate Piotroski (5/9). Some balance sheet criteria met, some missing.
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
⚖️ Sector Comparison
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%-33.1 vs %-31.8 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %-33.1
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Downtrend
Price (30.62), TRAMA-99 line's %24.8 below. Significant downtrend. TRAMA line acts as strong technical resistance.
Price:: 30.62
TRAMA: 40.74
Difference: %-24.8
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation ?
RSI thresholds ?

Price Chart ?
RSI (14) ?
Bollinger Bands ?
MACD ?
Gold-Based Price + TRAMA (Stock / Gram Gold) ?
P/E Ratio ?
P/B Ratio ?
EBITDA ?
Net Working Capital ?
Current Ratio ?
2706 — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.