2698Softcare Limited

🇭🇰 Hong Kong Borsası
24.94
HKD
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
51/100
Moderate
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
56/100
Dalio Risk ?
98/100
Piotroski ?
2/9
Weak
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Önceki yıl borç/varlık verisi yok → kaldıraç azalması kontrol edilemedi (C5); Previous year current ratio missing (C6); prev year gross profit, prev year revenue data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Graham ?
HK$16.7
Pahalı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
75%
Lothien Robustness Summary
66/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Güçlü (66/100)
Genel tablo olumlu. Finansal yapı sağlam, bazı riskler mevcut. | Kısa Vade: Nötr | Uzun Vade: Nötr | Pozitif: 4 | Negatif: 0 | Nötr: 1
Net Kâr Pozitif
Son çeyrekte HK$238M net kâr açıklandı. Şirket kârlı.
Kâr Stabil
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre fazla değişmedi (%+0.0). İstikrarlı seyir.
Yüksek Net Kâr Marjı
Net kâr marjı %21.4. Her 100HK$ satıştan 21HK$ kâr kalıyor.
Net Nakit Pozisyonu
Şirketin nakdi borçlarından HK$3.3B fazla. Borç riski düşük.
Güçlü Likidite
Cari oran 5.69x — kısa vadeli borçları rahat karşılıyor.

Data date 2026-10-22 Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed

Score record
Data date 2026-10-22
Update frequency Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run

Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.

AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.

Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.

WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.

Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error

Risk Analysis (VaR) Yüksek
233 days
Annual Volatility ?
%45.4
VaR 95% ?
%4.79
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%6.74
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.88
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%29.6
05.08.2026 → 22.10.2026
Skewness ?
1.09
Parametrik%4.79
Historik%3.93
Cornish-Fisher%3.67
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
-25.3%
ROIC ?
56.3%
DCF Value ?
16.06
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Balance Sheet Analysis? Q2026/6
Son 5 çeyrek ardışık kâr
Fiyat TRAMA-99 altında: %-23.0 — teknik trend olumsuz
Direnç seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 32.40 HKD
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
Net Profit Margin %21.4
Net profit margin %21.4 — very strong. Compared to previous quarter +0.0 point increase.
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM) %9.5
ROE %9.5 — low return on equity.
EBITDA Margin %27.6
EBITDA margin %27.6 — operationally very efficient.
Gross Profit Margin %35.9
Gross profit per revenue %35.9. Evaluate relative to sector.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM) %11.1
TTM Free Cash Flow is %11.1'i. Strong FCF generation — profit quality is high.
Valuation
P/E Ratio 16.3x Sector: 12.2x
F/K 16.3x — sector median's (12.2x) %34 above. Expensive zone.
P/B Ratio 3.10x Sector: 1.52x
PD/DD 3.10x — sector median's %104 above. Expensive book value.
EV/EBITDA 9.9x Sector: 7.1x
EV/EBITDA 9.9x — sector median's (7.1x) %41 above. Expensive relative to EBITDA.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio 5.69x
Current ratio 5.69x — current assets are 2x short-term liabilities. Very healthy liquidity.
Net Debt / EBITDA 0.1x
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.1x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity 0.03x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage 420.8x
Interest coverage 420.8x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
Net Profit Growth (YoY) %+25.3
Net profit YoY %25.3 increased — strong profit growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
51/100
Moderate robustness (51/100). Valuation and risk criteria give mixed signals. Detailed review recommended.
Moderate
Potential
-25.3%
Minus %25.3 expected value (18.67) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models could be calculated. Model confidence %75.
Components: PE target: 18.97 | P/B target: 12.87 | EV/EBITDA target: 17.76 | DCF target: 16.06
Damodaran Valuation
56/100
Moderate Damodaran score (56/100). ROIC (%56.3) – WACC (%11.6) difference +44.7 bps. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
98/100
Low debt risk (98/100). Interest coverage ratio 420.8x — strong. Debt/EBITDA 0.1x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 99/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 92/100
ROIC - Return on Capital
%56.3
ROIC (%56.3) cost of capital 44.7 bps above → company creates value.
WACC: %11.6
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
16.06
DCF (16.06) current price %35.8 below — cash flows do not support current price.
Current price: 25.00
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
HK$16.7
Expensive
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
16.3x vs 12.2x
Sector median's %34 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
3.10x vs 1.52x
Compared to sector %104 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
9.9x vs 7.1x
Compared to sector %41 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%56.3 vs %11.6 WACC
ROIC 44.7 bps above cost of capital
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%21.4 vs %27.6 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %21.4
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Downtrend
Price (24.94), TRAMA-99 line's %23.0 below. Significant downtrend. TRAMA line acts as strong technical resistance.
Price:: 24.94
TRAMA: 32.40
Difference: %-23.0
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation ?
RSI thresholds ?

Price Chart ?
RSI (14) ?
Bollinger Bands ?
MACD ?
Gold-Based Price + TRAMA (Stock / Gram Gold) ?
P/E Ratio ?
P/B Ratio ?
EBITDA ?
Net Working Capital ?
Current Ratio ?
2698 — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.