2632Jiangsu New Vision Automotive

🇭🇰 Hong Kong Borsası
51.00
HKD
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
18/100
Very Weak
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
20/100
ROIC hesaplanamadı: yatırılan sermaye ≤ 0 (özkaynak + net borç) — bu bilançoda ROIC paydası tanımsız; DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik)
Dalio Risk ?
35/100
Piotroski ?
2/9
Weak
Operating cash flow data missing (C3, C4)
Graham ?
Veri Yetersiz
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
Lothien Robustness Summary
13/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Çok Zayıf (13/100)
Temel göstergelerin çoğu olumsuz. Lothien sağlamlık skoru düşük seviyede. | Kısa Vade: Olumsuz | Uzun Vade: Olumsuz | Pozitif: 1 | Negatif: 7 | Nötr: 0
Net Zarar
Son çeyrekte -HK$382M zarar açıklandı. Yatırımcı dikkatli olmalı.
Çeyreklik Kâr Düşüşü
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre %-176.9 geriledi (-HK$138M → -HK$382M). Kısa vadede olumsuz sinyal.
Yıllık Kâr Geriledi
Geçen yılın aynı dönemine göre net kâr %-2483.9 düştü. Uzun vadede endişe verici.
Likidite Riski
Cari oran 0.26x — kısa vadeli borçları karşılama kapasitesi düşük. Nakit sıkışıklığı riski var.
FAVÖK Düşüşü
FAVÖK çeyreklik %-187.1 düştü. Operasyonel performans zayıflıyor.
Lothien Sağlamlık Skoru: 18/100
Bileşik algoritma değerlendirmesine göre şirketin finansal yapısı zayıf görünüyor.
Özkaynak Eriyor
Özkaynak çeyreklik %-25.7 düştü. Zarar veya temettü ile sermaye eriyor.
Sonraki Çeyrek: Artış Beklentisi
Pusla tahminine göre bir sonraki çeyrekte kâr %+31.8 artabilir (-HK$382M → -HK$260M).

Data date 2026-10-23 Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed

Score record
Data date 2026-10-23
Update frequency Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run

Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.

AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.

Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.

WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.

Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error

Risk Analysis (VaR) Çok Yüksek
144 days
Annual Volatility ?
%151.9
VaR 95% ?
%14.90
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%21.43
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%18.27
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%64.4
22.06.2026 → 22.10.2026
Skewness ?
1.92
Parametrik%14.90
Historik%12.83
Cornish-Fisher%6.68
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
-
Debt Cycle?
Contraction
Balance Sheet Analysis? Q2026/6
Son 5 çeyrek ardışık zarar
Fiyat TRAMA-99 altında: %-45.0 — teknik trend olumsuz
Direnç seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 92.79 HKD
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
Net Profit Margin %-173.9
Net profit margin %-173.9 — loss period. Compared to previous quarter -100.6 point decrease.
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM) %31.1
ROE %31.1 — high return on equity.
EBITDA Margin %-173.7
EBITDA margin %-173.7 — operational loss.
Gross Profit Margin %22.7
Gross profit per revenue %22.7. Evaluate relative to sector.
Valuation
No sector data
Indebtedness
Current Ratio 0.26x
Current ratio 0.26x — short-term liabilities exceed current assets. Liquidity risk.
Interest Coverage -180.2x
Interest coverage -180.2x — critical level. Risk of difficulty in interest payments.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY) %+26.7
Revenue YoY %26.7 grew — healthy growth rate.
Net Profit Growth (YoY) %-2483.9
Loss %2483.9 increased — losses deepening.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
18/100
Very weak robustness (18/100). Multiple critical indicators are red: high debt, low profitability or excessive valuation.
Very Weak
Damodaran Valuation
20/100
Very Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
35/100
High debt risk (35/100). Interest coverage ratio -180.2x — weak, fragile.
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 13/100 | Quality: 18/100
Debt Cycle Phase
Contraction
High debt service + falling revenues. Balance sheet under pressure.
Piotroski F-Score
2/9
Weak Piotroski (2/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Operating cash flow data missing (C3, C4)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
⚖️ Sector Comparison
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%-101.5 vs %-99.5 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %-101.5
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Downtrend
Price (51.00), TRAMA-99 line's %45.0 below. Significant downtrend. TRAMA line acts as strong technical resistance.
Price:: 51.00
TRAMA: 92.79
Difference: %-45.0
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation ?
RSI thresholds ?

Price Chart ?
RSI (14) ?
Bollinger Bands ?
MACD ?
Gold-Based Price + TRAMA (Stock / Gram Gold) ?
P/E Ratio ?
P/B Ratio ?
EBITDA ?
Net Working Capital ?
Current Ratio ?
2632 — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.