031210Seoul Guarantee Insurance Co., Ltd.

🇰🇷 Kore Borsası
42800.00
KRW
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
73/100
Very Strong
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
33/100
ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır
Dalio Risk ?
92/100
Piotroski ?
5/9
Neutral
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Current ratio data missing (C6); gross profit data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8); Banka/finans: kaldıraç/cari-oran/marj kriterleri uygulanamaz, skor kalan kriterlere göre normalize edildi
Graham ?
₩84,274.1
Ucuz
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
72%
Lothien Robustness Summary
78/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Çok Güçlü (78/100)
Temel göstergelerin büyük çoğunluğu pozitif. Kârlılık, büyüme ve değerleme açısından güçlü görünüm. | Kısa Vade: Olumlu | Uzun Vade: Nötr | Pozitif: 7 | Negatif: 1 | Nötr: 2
Net Kâr Pozitif
Son çeyrekte ₩66.1B net kâr açıklandı. Şirket kârlı.
Kâr Stabil
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre fazla değişmedi (%+15.1). İstikrarlı seyir.
3 Çeyrek Üst Üste Artış
Son 3 çeyrek üst üste kâr artıyor. Güçlü yukarı trend devam ediyor.
Yıllık Hasılatta Daralma
Yıllık hasılat %-2.8 düştü. Şirket daralmada.
Net Nakit Pozisyonu
Şirketin nakdi borçlarından ₩148.3B fazla. Borç riski düşük.
Güçlü Nakit Üretimi
Serbest nakit akışı (₩59.5B) kârın %90'sini nakit olarak üretiyor. Kâr kalitesi yüksek.
Makul F/K
Trailing F/K: 9.4. Makul değerleme aralığında.
Defter Değerinin Altında
PD/DD: 0.58. Hisse defter değerinin altında işlem görüyor. Değer tuzağı mı yoksa fırsat mı iyi analiz edilmeli.
Düşük EV/EBITDA
EV/EBITDA: 1.4. Operasyonel kârlılığa göre ucuz değerleme.
Lothien Sağlamlık Skoru: 73/100
Bileşik algoritma değerlendirmesine göre şirketin finansal yapısı güçlü görünüyor.

Data date 2026-10-23 Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed

Score record
Data date 2026-10-23
Update frequency Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run

Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.

AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.

Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.

WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.

Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error

Risk Analysis (VaR) Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%35.8
VaR 95% ?
%3.75
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%5.29
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.67
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%35.3
20.02.2026 → 26.06.2026
Skewness ?
0.43
Parametrik%3.75
Historik%3.19
Cornish-Fisher%3.39
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
+34.7%
DCF Value ?
23,574.12
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Balance Sheet Analysis? Q2026/6
Net kâr çeyreklik %+15.1 artarak 66.1B KRW oldu
Yıllık net kâr büyümesi sınırlı (%+0.9)
Hasılat çeyreklik %-13.2 düştü (599.0B KRW)
Yıllık hasılat büyümesi ılımlı (%-2.8)
Brüt kâr marjı güçlü: %99.8
Net kâr marjı: %11.0
FAVÖK marjı güçlü: %85.1
Toplam borç: 38.8B KRW
Net nakit pozisyonunda: -148.3B KRW (borçsuz)
Borç/Özkaynak oranı düşük: 0.01x
Nakit ve benzerleri: 187.0B KRW
İşletme nakit akışı pozitif: 65.5B KRW
Serbest nakit akışı pozitif: 59.5B KRW
ROE düşük: %1.3
ROA düşük: %0.7
Toplam varlıklar: 9,295.1B KRW (%-1.7)
Özkaynak: 5,010.9B KRW (%+0.6)
Faiz karşılama oranı güçlü: 1024.4x (Faiz: 497.4M KRW)
Ödenmiş sermaye: 69.8M KRW
CAPEX: 5.9B KRW (Hasılatın %1.0'i)
Son 6 çeyrek ardışık kâr
Fiyat TRAMA-99 hafif altında: %-4.0
Direnç seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 44566.85 KRW
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
Net Profit Margin %11.0
Net profit margin %11.0 — at healthy level. Compared to previous quarter +2.7 point increase.
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM) %6.1
ROE %6.1 — low return on equity.
EBITDA Margin %85.1
EBITDA margin %85.1 — operationally very efficient.
Gross Profit Margin %99.8
Gross profit per revenue %99.8. Strong pricing power.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM) %12.5
TTM Free Cash Flow is %12.5'i. Strong FCF generation — profit quality is high.
Valuation
P/E Ratio 9.4x Sector: 8.0x
F/K 9.4x — sector median's (8.0x) %18 above. Slight premium.
P/B Ratio 0.58x Sector: 0.81x
PD/DD 0.58x — sector median (0.81x) below or near. Reasonable valuation.
EV/EBITDA 1.4x Sector: 4.1x
EV/EBITDA 1.4x — sector median's (4.1x) %67 below. Cheap relative to EBITDA.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA 0.0x
Net Debt/EBITDA 0.0x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity 0.01x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage 1003.8x
Interest coverage 1003.8x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY) %-2.8
Revenue YoY %-2.8 declined — slight decrease, monitor closely.
Net Profit Growth (YoY) %+0.9
Net profit YoY %0.9 increased — positive but moderate growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
73/100
Very strong robustness score (73/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+34.7%
Plus %34.7 expected value (55971.09) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models could be calculated. Model confidence %72.
Components: PE target: 36284.45 | P/B target: 59266.53 | EV/EBITDA target: 124650.00 | DCF target: 23574.12
Damodaran Valuation
33/100
Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
92/100
Low debt risk (92/100). Interest coverage ratio 1003.8x — strong. Debt/EBITDA 0.0x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 82/100
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
23,574.12
DCF (23574.12) current price %43.3 below — cash flows do not support current price.
Current price: 41550.00
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
5/9
Moderate Piotroski (5/9). Some balance sheet criteria met, some missing. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Current ratio data missing (C6)
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
₩84,274.1
Graham intrinsic value: ₩84,274.1. Ucuz
Cheap
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
9.4x vs 8.0x
Sector median's %18 above — expensive
P/B Ratio
0.58x vs 0.81x
Compared to sector %29 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
1.4x vs 4.1x
Compared to sector %67 lower EV/EBITDA
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%12.5 vs %82.9 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %12.5
↔
TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (42800.00), TRAMA-99 line (44566.85) at close levels (%-4.0). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 42800.00
TRAMA: 44566.85
Difference: %-4.0
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation ?
RSI thresholds ?

Price Chart ?
RSI (14) ?
Bollinger Bands ?
MACD ?
Gold-Based Price + TRAMA (Stock / Gram Gold) ?
P/E Ratio ?
P/B Ratio ?
031210 — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.