0068Manycore Tech Inc.

🇭🇰 Hong Kong Borsası
3.03
HKD
Analysis Scores
Lothien Robustness Score?
26/100
Weak
Neden bu skor?
Damodaran ?
27/100
ROIC hesaplanamadı: yatırılan sermaye ≤ 0 (özkaynak + net borç) — bu bilançoda ROIC paydası tanımsız
Dalio Risk ?
34/100
Piotroski ?
6/9
Neutral
Graham ?
Veri Yetersiz
Özkaynaklar negatif veya sıfır — Graham formülü pozitif defter değeri gerektirir
Active Metric?
1/4
Confidence?
43%
Lothien Robustness Summary
36/100
Lothien Sağlamlık: Zayıf (36/100)
Olumsuz göstergeler ağır basıyor. Finansal yapıda zayıflıklar mevcut. | Kısa Vade: Nötr | Uzun Vade: Nötr | Pozitif: 2 | Negatif: 3 | Nötr: 1
Net Zarar
Son çeyrekte -HK$126M zarar açıklandı. Yatırımcı dikkatli olmalı.
Kâr Stabil
Net kâr bir önceki çeyreğe göre fazla değişmedi (%+0.0). İstikrarlı seyir.
Net Nakit Pozisyonu
Şirketin nakdi borçlarından HK$406M fazla. Borç riski düşük.
Likidite Riski
Cari oran 0.09x — kısa vadeli borçları karşılama kapasitesi düşük. Nakit sıkışıklığı riski var.
Lothien Sağlamlık Skoru: 26/100
Bileşik algoritma değerlendirmesine göre şirketin finansal yapısı zayıf görünüyor.
Sonraki Çeyrek: Artış Beklentisi
Pusla tahminine göre bir sonraki çeyrekte kâr %+50.5 artabilir (-HK$126M → -HK$62M).

Data date 2026-10-23 Not investment advice; the figures are rule-based model output. How the scores are computed

Score record
Data date 2026-10-23
Update frequency Scheduled analysis run on business days at 19:30 Istanbul time; not every symbol is refreshed in every run

Method summaryThe Lothien Robustness Score (0-100) is a weighted combination of sub-scores computed by fixed rules from published financial statements and price data (Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk, Piotroski F-score, earnings quality, momentum and others). The rules are applied automatically to every covered stock, with weights that vary by sector.

AssumptionsCalculations rest on the company's latest published financial statements and on price data that may be delayed. Where four quarters have not been published, annual figures may be scaled from the available quarters. Model parameters such as the risk-free rate, the risk premium and long-term growth are fixed assumptions per exchange and contain no company-specific expectation.

Conflict of interestNo statement has been published on whether MIDAK, the operator of Lothien, or its team hold positions in these stocks. The figures are produced automatically by the same rules, without regard to any such position.

WarningThis information is not within the scope of investment advisory services and is not investment advice. The figures are the output of rule-based models and may not suit your financial situation or your risk and return preferences. Making an investment decision on the basis of this information alone may not lead to results that meet your expectations.

Model output; not investment advice; different models can disagree. Report an error

Risk Analysis (VaR) Çok Yüksek
129 days
Annual Volatility ?
%182.8
VaR 95% ?
%19.84
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%27.69
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%16.19
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%92.4
21.04.2026 → 22.10.2026
Skewness ?
5.53
Parametrik%19.84
Historik%11.70
Cornish-Fisher%-15.73
Return Distribution
Valuation
Potential?
-32.1%
DCF Value ?
0.46
Debt Cycle?
Geç Genişleme
Balance Sheet Analysis? Q2025/12
Net kâr çeyreklik yatay seyrede (-126.0M HKD, %+0.0)
Yıllık net kâr büyümesi %+16.7
Hasılat çeyreklik yatay kaldı (241.4M HKD)
Yıllık hasılat büyümesi güçlü (%+8.6)
Brüt kâr marjı güçlü: %82.2
Net kâr marjı negatif: %-52.2 — zarar ediyor
FAVÖK yatay seyrede (-113.7M HKD)
FAVÖK marjı düşük: %-47.1
Toplam borç: 14.2M HKD
Net nakit pozisyonunda: -406.2M HKD (borçsuz)
Cari oran < 1: 0.09x — likidite riski
Nakit ve benzerleri: 420.3M HKD
İşletme nakit akışı negatif: -5.7M HKD
Serbest nakit akışı negatif: -16.1M HKD — yatırımlar nakdi aşıyor
ROA düşük: %-19.4
Toplam varlıklar: 648.7M HKD (%+0.0)
Özkaynak: -4.9B HKD (%+0.0)
İşletme kârı pozitif: 10.8M HKD
Faiz gideri: 316,504 HKD
Ödenmiş sermaye: 1.7B HKD
Net işletme sermayesi negatif: -5.0B HKD — kısa vadeli baskı
CAPEX: 10.4M HKD (Hasılatın %4.3'i)
Son 8 çeyrek ardışık zarar
Fiyat TRAMA-99 altında: %-74.2 — teknik trend olumsuz
Direnç seviyesi: TRAMA-99 = 11.73 HKD
Likit varlık ağırlığı yüksek: Dönen varlıklar toplam varlıkların %76'i
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
Profitability
Net Profit Margin %-52.2
Net profit margin %-52.2 — loss period. Compared to previous quarter +0.0 point increase.
ROE - Return on Equity (TTM) %10.2
ROE %10.2 — moderate return on equity.
EBITDA Margin %-47.1
EBITDA margin %-47.1 — operational loss.
Gross Profit Margin %82.2
Gross profit per revenue %82.2. Strong pricing power.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM) %-6.6
TTM Free Cash Flow is %-6.6'i. Negative FCF — company consuming cash.
Valuation
No sector data
Indebtedness
Current Ratio 0.09x
Current ratio 0.09x — short-term liabilities exceed current assets. Liquidity risk.
Interest Coverage -359.3x
Interest coverage -359.3x — critical level. Risk of difficulty in interest payments.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY) %+8.6
Revenue YoY %8.6 grew — positive but slow growth.
Net Profit Growth (YoY) %+16.7
Loss %16.7 decreased — improvement continues.
Seasonality Analysis Q1 (Oca-Mar)
Historically strongest quarter: Q1 (Jan-Mar) (avg. profit -138.6M). Weakest quarter: Q4 (Oct-Dec) (avg. profit -155.8M).
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
26/100
Weak robustness (26/100). Valuation metrics and/or debt profile are unfavorable; caution is needed.
Weak
Potential
-32.1%
Minus %32.1 expected value (2.05) vs current price comparison. 1/4 valuation models could be calculated. Model confidence %43.
Components: DCF target: 0.75
Damodaran Valuation
27/100
Very Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
34/100
High debt risk (34/100). Interest coverage ratio -359.3x — weak, fragile.
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 4/100 | Quality: 48/100
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
0.46
DCF (0.46) current price %84.7 below — cash flows do not support current price.
Current price: 3.02
Debt Cycle Phase
Geç Genişleme
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Moderate Piotroski (6/9). Some balance sheet criteria met, some missing.
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
⚖️ Sector Comparison
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%-52.2 vs %-47.1 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %-52.2
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Downtrend
Price (3.03), TRAMA-99 line's %74.2 below. Significant downtrend. TRAMA line acts as strong technical resistance.
Price:: 3.03
TRAMA: 11.73
Difference: %-74.2
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation ?
RSI thresholds ?

Price Chart ?
RSI (14) ?
Bollinger Bands ?
MACD ?
Gold-Based Price + TRAMA (Stock / Gram Gold) ?
0068 — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.