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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
43/100
Dalio Risk ?
49/100
Piotroski ?
6/9
Neutral
Operating cash flow data missing (C3, C4)
Graham ?
A$5.3
Ucuz
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
59%
Valuation
Potential?
+19.8%
ROIC ?
5.4%
DCF Value ?
3.34
Debt Cycle?
Geç Genişleme
Data
Data ?
3973
2010-12-13 → 2026-08-31
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Düşük
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%19.0
VaR 95% ?
%2.01
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%2.82
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%2.97
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%21.5
28.10.2025 → 30.03.2026
Skewness ?
-0.60
Parametrik%2.01
Historik%2.19
Cornish-Fisher%2.16
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Downtrend
Price (3.59), TRAMA-99 line's %6.0 below. Downtrend ongoing — technical outlook negative. Pressure may continue until TRAMA is broken above.
Price:: 3.59
TRAMA: 3.8189
Difference: %-6.0
Profitability
Net Profit Margin
%66.2
Net profit margin %66.2 — very strong. Compared to previous quarter +0.0 point increase.
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%4.7
ROE %4.7 — low return on equity.
EBITDA Margin
%91.8
EBITDA margin %91.8 — operationally very efficient.
Gross Profit Margin
%71.2
Gross profit per revenue %71.2. Strong pricing power.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%38.5
TTM Free Cash Flow is %38.5'i. Strong FCF generation — profit quality is high.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
10.6x
Sector: 17.8x
F/K 10.6x — sector median's (17.8x) %41 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
0.99x
Sector: 1.83x
PD/DD 0.99x — sector median's (1.83x) çok below. Defter değerine göre undervalued.
EV/EBITDA
13.5x
Sector: 10.6x
EV/EBITDA 13.5x — sector median's (10.6x) %28 above. EBITDA’ya göre pahalı.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
0.53x
Current ratio 0.53x — short-term liabilities exceed current assets. Liquidity risk.
Net Debt / EBITDA
6.1x
Net Borç/EBITDA 6.1x — excessive leverage. Fragile debt profile.
Debt / Equity
0.80x
Borç/Özkaynak 0.80x — moderate financial leverage.
Interest Coverage
3.0x
Interest coverage 3.0x — limited buffer. May tighten if profitability drops.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%+1.8
Revenue YoY %1.8 grew — positive but slow growth.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%+69.4
Net profit YoY %69.4 increased (2025/12) — extraordinary profit growth.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
65/100
Good robustness (65/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Strong
Potential
+19.8%
Plus %19.8 expected value (4.30) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %59.
Components: P/B target: 6.80 | EV/EBITDA target: 2.81 | DCF target: 3.34
Damodaran Valuation
43/100
Low Damodaran score (43/100). ROIC (%5.4) below cost of capital. DCF analysis does not support current price.
Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
49/100
High debt risk (49/100). Interest coverage ratio 3.0x — acceptable. Borç/EBITDA 6.1x — high debt burden.
Leverage: 67/100 | Debt Service: 44/100 | Quality: 90/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%5.4
ROIC (%5.4) cost of capitaln (7.8%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %7.8
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
3.34
DCF (3.34) near current price (%-6.9) near — in fair value zone.
Current price: 3.59
Debt Cycle Phase
Geç Genişleme
Debt cycle phase: Geç Genişleme
Piotroski F-Score
6/9
Moderate Piotroski (6/9). Some balance sheet criteria met, some missing. Note: Operating cash flow data missing (C3, C4)
Neutral
Graham Intrinsic Value
A$5.3
Graham intrinsic value: A$5.3. Ucuz
Cheap
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
10.6x
vs 17.8x
Sector mediannın %41 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
0.99x
vs 1.83x
Compared to sector %46 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
13.5x
vs 10.6x
Compared to sector %28 higher EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%5.4
vs %7.8 WACC
ROIC 2.4 baz puan cost of capitaln altında
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%66.2
vs %91.8 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %66.2
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
SCG — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.