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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
74/100
Dalio Risk ?
51/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
4/4
Confidence?
72%
Valuation
Potential?
+72.8%
ROIC ?
17.8%
DCF Value ?
34.61
Debt Cycle?
Contraction
Data
Data ?
8074
1994-06-30 → 2026-08-31
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%23.4
VaR 95% ?
%2.55
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%3.55
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%3.45
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%36.9
02.09.2025 → 04.05.2026
Skewness ?
-0.44
Parametrik%2.55
Historik%2.32
Cornish-Fisher%2.52
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Downtrend
Price (2.94), TRAMA-99 line's %6.0 below. Downtrend ongoing — technical outlook negative. Pressure may continue until TRAMA is broken above.
Price:: 2.94
TRAMA: 3.1281
Difference: %-6.0
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
2.9x
Sector: 11.4x
F/K 2.9x — sector median's (11.4x) %75 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
2083251417.53x
Sector: 3.03x
PD/DD 2083251417.53x — sector median's %68754172096 above. Expensive book value.
EV/EBITDA
2.3x
Sector: 4.2x
EV/EBITDA 2.3x — sector median's (4.2x) %44 below. EBITDA’ya göre undervalued.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.9x
Net Borç/EBITDA 0.9x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
1224871092.78x
Borç/Özkaynak 1224871092.78x — very high leverage.
Interest Coverage
19.1x
Interest coverage 19.1x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
79/100
Very strong robustness score (79/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+72.8%
Plus %72.8 expected value (5.08) vs current price comparison. 4/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %72.
Components: PE target: 8.82 | P/B target: 0.77 | EV/EBITDA target: 5.25 | DCF target: 8.82
Damodaran Valuation
74/100
Strong Damodaran valuation (74/100). ROIC (%17.8) exceeds cost of capital, company creates value.
Strong
Dalio Risk Analysis
51/100
Moderate debt risk (51/100). Interest coverage ratio 19.1x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 0.9x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 45/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 32/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%17.8
ROIC (%17.8) cost of capital 8.6 puan aşıyor → company creates value.
WACC: %9.2
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
34.61
DCF modeli 34.61 target value produced — compared to current price %1077.2 undervalued.
Current price: 2.94
Debt Cycle Phase
Contraction
High debt service + falling revenues. Balance sheet under pressure.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
2.9x
vs 11.4x
Sector mediannın %75 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
2083251417.53x
vs 3.03x
Compared to sector %68754172096 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
2.3x
vs 4.2x
Compared to sector %44 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%17.8
vs %9.2 WACC
ROIC 8.6 baz puan exceeds cost of capital
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
MTS — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.