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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
44/100
ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır; DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik)
Dalio Risk ?
79/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
64%
Valuation
Potential?
+45.0%
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
5691
2004-03-12 → 2026-09-02
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%28.6
VaR 95% ?
%2.93
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%4.15
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.82
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%29.5
08.09.2025 → 23.03.2026
Skewness ?
-0.69
Parametrik%2.93
Historik%2.95
Cornish-Fisher%3.11
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Near TRAMA
Price (20.00), TRAMA-99 line (19.76) at close levels (%+1.2). Important decision zone — breakout direction will determine the trend.
Price:: 20.0
TRAMA: 19.7647
Difference: %+1.2
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
3.4x
Sector: 9.0x
F/K 3.4x — sector median's (9.0x) %62 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
11.44x
Sector: 2.35x
PD/DD 11.44x — sector median's %387 above. Expensive book value.
EV/EBITDA
2.1x
Sector: 4.0x
EV/EBITDA 2.1x — sector median's (4.0x) %47 below. EBITDA’ya göre undervalued.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.8x
Net Borç/EBITDA 0.8x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
6.63x
Borç/Özkaynak 6.63x — very high leverage.
Interest Coverage
20.3x
Interest coverage 20.3x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
74/100
Very strong robustness score (74/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+45.0%
Plus %45.0 expected value (30.14) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %64.
Components: PE target: 55.27 | P/B target: 7.87 | EV/EBITDA target: 39.07
Damodaran Valuation
44/100
Low Damodaran score (44/100). DCF analysis does not support current price. Minusk/sorunlu: ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır; DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik).
Weak
Dalio Risk Analysis
79/100
Low debt risk (79/100). Interest coverage ratio 20.3x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 0.8x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 52/100
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
3.4x
vs 9.0x
Sector mediannın %62 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
11.44x
vs 2.35x
Compared to sector %387 more expensive (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
2.1x
vs 4.0x
Compared to sector %47 lower EV/EBITDA
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
MMS — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.