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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
55/100
ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır; DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik)
Dalio Risk ?
78/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
74%
Valuation
Potential?
+101.2%
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
2880
2015-04-22 → 2026-09-02
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%40.2
VaR 95% ?
%3.97
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%5.70
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%4.37
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%28.3
08.12.2025 → 23.03.2026
Skewness ?
1.89
Parametrik%3.97
Historik%3.16
Cornish-Fisher%1.94
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Uptrend
Price (4.19), TRAMA-99 line's %36.7 above. Strong uptrend continues. Technical momentum positive.
Price:: 4.190000057220459
TRAMA: 3.0662
Difference: %+36.7
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/E Ratio
2.8x
Sector: 9.0x
F/K 2.8x — sector median's (9.0x) %69 below. Attractive for value investing.
P/B Ratio
1.35x
Sector: 2.35x
PD/DD 1.35x — sector median's (2.35x) çok below. Defter değerine göre undervalued.
EV/EBITDA
2.0x
Sector: 4.0x
EV/EBITDA 2.0x — sector median's (4.0x) %51 below. EBITDA’ya göre undervalued.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.4x
Net Borç/EBITDA 1.4x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
2.80x
Borç/Özkaynak 2.80x — high leverage. Sensitive to debt cycle changes.
Interest Coverage
12.2x
Interest coverage 12.2x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
76/100
Very strong robustness score (76/100). Damodaran valuation, Dalio risk analysis and balance sheet quality criteria are largely met.
Very Strong
Potential
+101.2%
Plus %101.2 expected value (8.41) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %74.
Components: PE target: 12.54 | P/B target: 8.11 | EV/EBITDA target: 8.49
Damodaran Valuation
55/100
Moderate Damodaran score (55/100). Value creation capacity limited. Minusk/sorunlu: ROIC banka/finans için tanımsız — mevduat/prim fonlaması borç değil hammaddedir; değerleme öz-sermaye (P/DD) tabanlı yapılır; DCF hesaplanamadı (faaliyet kârı veya nakit akışı eksik).
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
78/100
Low debt risk (78/100). Interest coverage ratio 12.2x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 1.4x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 50/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 50/100
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
2.8x
vs 9.0x
Sector mediannın %69 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
1.35x
vs 2.35x
Compared to sector %42 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
2.0x
vs 4.0x
Compared to sector %51 lower EV/EBITDA
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
FPR — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.