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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
50/100
Dalio Risk ?
71/100
Piotroski ?
3/9
Weak
Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Previous year data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Graham ?
E£21.5
Ucuz
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
74%
Valuation
Potential?
+66.4%
ROIC ?
12.0%
DCF Value ?
20.98
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
2756
2015-07-05 → 2026-09-02
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Orta
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%33.3
VaR 95% ?
%3.23
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%4.66
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%3.66
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%15.5
09.11.2025 → 01.03.2026
Skewness ?
1.13
Parametrik%3.23
Historik%2.74
Cornish-Fisher%2.33
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Uptrend
Price (13.70), TRAMA-99 line's %32.8 above. Strong uptrend continues. Technical momentum positive.
Price:: 13.7
TRAMA: 10.3134
Difference: %+32.8
Profitability
Net Profit Margin
%7.1
Net profit margin %7.1 — positive but low. Compared to previous quarter -9.9 point decrease.
ROE – Özkaynak Getirisi (TTM)
%0.6
ROE %0.6 — low return on equity.
EBITDA Margin
%50.4
EBITDA margin %50.4 — operationally very efficient.
Gross Profit Margin
%40.5
Gross profit per revenue %40.5. Strong pricing power.
Free Cash Flow Margin (TTM)
%81.5
TTM Free Cash Flow is %81.5'i. Strong FCF generation — profit quality is high.
Valuation
P/E Ratio
8.0x
Sector: 10.3x
F/K 8.0x — sector medianna (10.3x) near reasonable levels.
P/B Ratio
1.15x
Sector: 2.40x
PD/DD 1.15x — sector median's (2.40x) çok below. Defter değerine göre undervalued.
EV/EBITDA
3.5x
Sector: 7.1x
EV/EBITDA 3.5x — sector median's (7.1x) %50 below. EBITDA’ya göre undervalued.
Indebtedness
Current Ratio
1.58x
Current ratio 1.58x — can comfortably cover short-term debts.
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.6x
Net Borç/EBITDA 0.6x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
0.14x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage
0.6x
Interest coverage 0.6x — critical level. Risk of difficulty in interest payments.
Growth
Revenue Growth (YoY)
%-30.9
Revenue YoY %-30.9 declined — significant revenue drop.
Net Profit Growth (YoY)
%-86.0
Net profit YoY %-86.0 declined (2025/9) — serious profit erosion.
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
66/100
Good robustness (66/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Strong
Potential
+66.4%
Plus %66.4 expected value (22.80) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %74.
Components: P/B target: 29.17 | EV/EBITDA target: 27.64 | DCF target: 20.98
Damodaran Valuation
50/100
Moderate Damodaran score (50/100). ROIC (%12.0) – WACC (%35.4) farkı -23.3 baz puan. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
71/100
Low debt risk (71/100). Interest coverage ratio 0.6x — weak, fragile. Borç/EBITDA 0.6x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 96/100 | Debt Service: 47/100 | Quality: 83/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%12.0
ROIC (%12.0) cost of capitaln (35.4%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %35.4
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
20.98
DCF modeli 20.98 target value produced — compared to current price %53.1 undervalued.
Current price: 13.70
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
3/9
Weak Piotroski (3/9). Many balance sheet quality criteria not met. Note: Previous period ROA data missing (C1 delta-ROA); Previous year data missing → margin comparison unavailable (C8)
Weak
Graham Intrinsic Value
E£21.5
Graham intrinsic value: E£21.5. Ucuz
Cheap
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/E Ratio
8.0x
vs 10.3x
Sector mediannın %22 below — cheap
P/B Ratio
1.15x
vs 2.40x
Compared to sector %52 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
3.5x
vs 7.1x
Compared to sector %50 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%12.0
vs %35.4 WACC
ROIC 23.3 baz puan cost of capitaln altında
Net Profit Margin (TTM)
%46.0
vs %76.3 EBITDA margin
TTM net profit margin %46.0
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
EMFD — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.