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Analysis Scores
Damodaran ?
60/100
Dalio Risk ?
81/100
Piotroski ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham ?
-
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Active Metric?
3/4
Confidence?
74%
Valuation
Potential?
+121.4%
ROIC ?
7.8%
DCF Value ?
125.46
Debt Cycle?
Early Expansion
Data
Data ?
6824
2000-01-04 → 2026-09-02
Risk Analysis (VaR)
Çok Yüksek
252 days
Annual Volatility ?
%115.9
VaR 95% ?
%12.08
daily max loss
VaR 99% ?
%17.06
daily max loss
CVaR 95% ?
%15.46
expected loss (tail)
Max Drawdown ?
%68.0
29.08.2025 → 21.08.2026
Skewness ?
0.74
Parametrik%12.08
Historik%11.38
Cornish-Fisher%9.69
Return Distribution
Fundamental & Technical Analysis
TRAMA-99 Trend — Strong Downtrend
Price (72.00), TRAMA-99 line's %37.4 below. Significant downtrend. TRAMA line acts as strong technical resistance.
Price:: 72.0
TRAMA: 114.9283
Difference: %-37.4
Profitability
No balance sheet data
Valuation
P/B Ratio
0.31x
Sector: 1.48x
PD/DD 0.31x — sector median's (1.48x) çok below. Defter değerine göre undervalued.
EV/EBITDA
0.1x
Sector: 1.6x
EV/EBITDA 0.1x — sector median's (1.6x) %95 below. EBITDA’ya göre undervalued.
Indebtedness
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Net Borç/EBITDA 0.1x — very low debt burden. Company can repay debt quickly.
Debt / Equity
0.39x
Low leverage — majority of assets financed by equity.
Interest Coverage
105.0x
Interest coverage 105.0x — very wide margin for paying interest expenses.
Growth
No balance sheet data
Score Explanations
Lothien Robustness
68/100
Good robustness (68/100). The company shows a generally balanced financial profile; some areas have room for improvement.
Strong
Potential
+121.4%
Plus %121.4 expected value (159.42) vs current price comparison. 3/4 valuation models give 'BUY' signal. Model confidence %74.
Components: P/B target: 216.00 | EV/EBITDA target: 216.00 | DCF target: 125.46
Damodaran Valuation
60/100
Moderate Damodaran score (60/100). ROIC (%7.8) – WACC (%14.2) farkı -6.3 baz puan. Value creation capacity limited.
Moderate
Dalio Risk Analysis
81/100
Low debt risk (81/100). Interest coverage ratio 105.0x — strong. Borç/EBITDA 0.1x — in healthy range.
Leverage: 93/100 | Debt Service: 100/100 | Quality: 32/100
ROIC – Sermaye Getirisi
%7.8
ROIC (%7.8) cost of capitaln (14.2%) below → destroying value.
WACC: %14.2
DCF Discounted Cash Flow
125.46
DCF modeli 125.46 target value produced — compared to current price %74.2 undervalued.
Current price: 72.00
Debt Cycle Phase
Early Expansion
Debt decreasing, growth gaining momentum. Company in balance sheet cleanup phase.
Piotroski F-Score
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
Graham Intrinsic Value
—
Bilanço dosyası bulunamadı
⚖️ Sector Comparison
P/B Ratio
0.31x
vs 1.48x
Compared to sector %79 cheaper (by book value)
EV/EBITDA
0.1x
vs 1.6x
Compared to sector %95 lower EV/EBITDA
ROIC vs WACC
%7.8
vs %14.2 WACC
ROIC 6.3 baz puan cost of capitaln altında
Charts
Indicators
BB deviation
?
RSI thresholds
?
ACT — Participation Finance Compliance
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The Lothien health scores and analyses on this page are for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed investment advisor before making investment decisions.